NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	97		Excitement	5.5 [730]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): +16.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	80		Comeback	2.0 [289]		LVP	Mo Williams (MIL): -14.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.07	0.02	32	60%	0.27	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
David Wesley	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.04	-0.04	11	71%	0.18	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Charles Hayes	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	78%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	9	55%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
John Lucas III	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	13	46%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	7	50%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	44%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	13	52%	0.03	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	17	51%	0.11	5	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	8	44%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	12	37%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	6	14%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.3	28.5	15.7	27.6	2.7	26.3	125.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +54.3%

MIL -7.2%

HOU +1.0%

MIL -1.0%

HOU +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIL	NBA	HOU	MIL	NBA
this game	16.0	16.6	15.6	110.2	89.9	104.4
season	16.1	15.5		99.9	104.6
opponent	15.5	16.1		106.0	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.0	15.8	15.6	17.5	16.0
MIL	15.0	17.0	19.5	15.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	68	71	0.75	-0.25	1.00	-0.07	28	-11	39	16.4	14.6	1.75	16.3	17.7	-1.43
Charles Hayes	39	38	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.05	22	-5	27	16.4	15.6	0.73	15.6	17.3	-1.66
Tracy McGrady	66	66	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	0	17	15.6	17.1	-1.58	17.4	14.2	3.25
Rafer Alston	73	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	2	13	16.2	14.6	1.63	16.4	17.8	-1.43
Lonny Baxter	48	49	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.04	17	0	17	17.6	14.0	3.58	14.9	18.7	-3.80
Dikembe Mutombo	28	29	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	18	-19	14.3	16.7	-2.45	19.1	15.4	3.74
John Lucas III	18	16	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	17	-17	15.8	16.0	-0.22	16.7	16.5	0.20
Juwan Howard	61	62	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	21	-25	15.2	17.7	-2.52	17.3	14.9	2.49
Luther Head	39	39	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.01	-9	26	-35	15.5	16.3	-0.84	16.1	17.0	-0.95

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine Jackson	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	12.2	16.8	-4.54	19.2	15.8	3.45
Reece Gaines	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	12.2	16.8	-4.54	19.2	15.8	3.45
Andrew Bogut	72	71	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.08	-3	-14	11	16.7	16.2	0.43	15.4	18.2	-2.83
Toni Kukoc	12	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-10	3	14.9	16.8	-1.93	19.5	15.5	4.00
Jamaal Magloire	57	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	-9	1	17.0	15.9	1.06	15.4	17.0	-1.59
Michael Redd	72	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-7	-3	17.2	13.9	3.27	15.5	17.6	-2.08
T.J. Ford	66	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-12	7	17.5	14.1	3.37	15.0	19.0	-4.00
Jiri Welsch	22	22	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.04	-9	-8	-1	14.1	17.4	-3.31	18.3	15.2	3.09
Dan Gadzuric	32	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-8	-1	15.9	17.0	-1.06	17.0	15.4	1.59
Mo Williams	39	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-5	-7	15.3	17.6	-2.36	16.1	15.8	0.31
Bobby Simmons	65	66	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.02	-24	7	-31	17.4	14.4	3.03	16.1	15.4	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%
UTA 94, TOR 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	93.7%
CHI 100, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.19,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0	93.1%