NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	94		Excitement	5.1 [792]		MVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): +19.9%
Toronto Raptors	85		Comeback	1.6 [718]		LVP	Chris Childs (TOR): -25.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.04	0.06	9	96%	0.16	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Bryon Russell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.06	0.06	10	73%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Greg Ostertag	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	4	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Rusty LaRue	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	117%	0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	42%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
John Starks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Karl Malone	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	16	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	14	64%	-0.06
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	7	29%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.03	0.01	11	100%	0.28	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	16	55%	0.03	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	3	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	11	44%	-0.04	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.06	0.06	17	49%	-0.05	5	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.19	-0.09	-0.03	5	8%	-0.13	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	28.7	15.6	29.7	2.4	33.4	134.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +20.1%

UTA +6.9%

UTA +7.5%

UTA +17.7%

TOR -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	16.8	17.1	15.6	109.3	101.2	102.3
season	16.1	16.2		102.9	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.1		100.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.3	19.7	15.2	16.1	16.8
TOR	16.5	16.3	21.8	14.5	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	59	57	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-6	21	16.4	17.7	-1.35	16.2	19.0	-2.73
Scott Padgett	52	49	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.20	10	-1	11	16.9	16.6	0.32	15.8	18.9	-3.10
Karl Malone	69	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	-1	11	16.5	17.9	-1.38	17.0	17.5	-0.52
Bryon Russell	71	71	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	0	9	17.4	13.7	3.77	17.2	16.8	0.40
John Starks	46	42	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	5	-1	16.8	16.8	-0.04	16.1	18.1	-1.98
Jarron Collins	40	41	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	3	3	16.0	17.4	-1.41	17.6	16.6	1.03
Andrei Kirilenko	42	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	7	-5	15.8	17.7	-1.94	19.0	15.3	3.60
Rusty LaRue	27	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	15	-21	17.7	16.4	1.35	19.0	16.2	2.73
Greg Ostertag	24	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	14	-19	18.4	16.2	2.21	17.5	17.0	0.57

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Montross	32	33	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-9	9	17.2	17.1	0.08	17.5	16.3	1.15
Tracy Murray	21	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-11	13	16.3	17.4	-1.10	16.1	17.0	-0.94
Michael Bradley	17	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-8	7	17.2	17.1	0.16	19.1	16.2	2.95
Jermaine Jackson	9	9	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-4	-1	17.1	17.1	0.00	15.0	17.0	-1.99
Michael Stewart	11	10	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-4	-1	19.5	16.7	2.81	13.2	17.2	-4.05
Keon Clark	64	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-5	1	18.1	13.8	4.28	17.2	15.5	1.60
Morris Peterson	70	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	16.8	18.7	-1.93	16.7	17.2	-0.58
Alvin Williams	77	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-4	-1	16.8	20.9	-4.09	16.5	19.9	-3.41
Antonio Davis	72	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	0	-9	17.1	17.0	0.13	16.6	17.8	-1.23
Chris Childs	47	49	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	1	-11	16.4	17.9	-1.50	17.2	16.2	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	95.1%
OKC 99, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0	94.4%
GSW 114, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.37,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%