NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	83		Excitement	2.6 [1247]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +10.8%
New Jersey Nets	103		Comeback	1.0 [1235]		LVP	Orien Greene (BOS): -3.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.05	13	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	10	90%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	8	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Reed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	25%	0.00	2	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	20%	-0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	59%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	17%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	6	53%	-0.01	1	-0.00	7	57%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.00	0.04	13	69%	0.13	2	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	7	81%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.04	13	48%	0.07	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	17%	0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	33%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	10	57%	-0.00	1	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	39%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	31.4	14.8	29.1	2.4	28.7	130.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +20.0%

NJN +13.2%

NJN +10.9%

NJN +1.7%

NJN +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	16.4	14.8	15.6	90.2	110.8	104.4
season	14.8	15.7		103.3	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.8		100.9	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.3	17.1	17.6	15.5	16.4
NJN	12.3	15.0	14.3	18.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Reed	23	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-25	30	15.9	16.5	-0.59	17.0	14.0	3.03
Marcus Banks	14	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.25	-9	-11	2	18.6	16.0	2.61	16.9	14.3	2.60
Mark Blount	23	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.26	-10	-10	0	18.7	15.6	3.12	15.3	14.6	0.63
Raef LaFrentz	29	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-15	10	15.3	16.8	-1.53	13.8	15.3	-1.47
Orien Greene	29	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-22	24	15.7	16.7	-1.03	15.8	14.4	1.43
Tony Allen	47	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-13	6	16.3	16.4	-0.17	15.8	13.7	2.12
Kendrick Perkins	50	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-21	22	16.2	16.6	-0.44	14.4	15.2	-0.75
Delonte West	49	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-7	-6	16.1	16.6	-0.46	13.5	16.2	-2.69
Al Jefferson	49	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-16	12	15.2	17.6	-2.38	14.9	14.6	0.31
Brian Scalabrine	33	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.32	-22	2	-24	17.6	15.7	1.95	15.6	14.3	1.35
Paul Pierce	61	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.16	-17	-3	-14	16.3	16.4	-0.09	13.7	16.7	-3.07
Ricky Davis	53	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.19	-21	1	-22	16.7	15.9	0.71	14.1	15.8	-1.70

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nenad Krstic	59	60	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.17	21	-1	22	13.7	16.7	-2.98	16.1	16.7	-0.60
Jason Kidd	63	64	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.23	22	-2	24	14.0	16.5	-2.53	15.8	17.6	-1.85
Scott Padgett	52	50	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.40	26	-6	32	14.9	14.6	0.36	17.6	14.9	2.68
Vince Carter	60	60	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.26	20	0	20	13.7	16.7	-2.96	16.3	16.5	-0.26
Richard Jefferson	35	35	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	5	10	14.3	15.1	-0.85	17.8	15.5	2.28
Jacque Vaughn	60	58	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	14	-8	15.1	14.2	0.93	16.6	16.0	0.52
Zoran Planinic	37	37	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	12	-4	16.6	13.6	2.96	16.2	16.5	-0.24
Clifford Robinson	34	35	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	15	-10	12.5	16.1	-3.60	16.2	16.4	-0.21
Marc Jackson	30	28	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.07	-2	22	-24	17.4	13.6	3.81	16.2	16.4	-0.21
Antoine Wright	23	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.27	-9	29	-38	17.2	14.0	3.17	15.7	16.6	-0.83
Linton Johnson	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	32	-44	18.8	14.2	4.65	12.7	16.9	-4.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 76, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
WAS 109, SEA 133	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.69,0.65,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
POR 98, DEN 124	0.5,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%