NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	137		Excitement	16.5 [3]		MVP	Earl Boykins (DEN): +69.9%
Denver Nuggets	139		Comeback	6.7 [251]		LVP	Andre Miller (DEN): -23.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.37	0.16	0.20	0.00	11	67%	0.37	0	0.00	11	82%	0.02
Raja Bell	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.43,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.04	19	75%	0.26	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.04
Shawn Marion	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.01	25	53%	0.26	2	-0.14	3	67%	-0.01
Eddie House	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08	-0.04	0.12	-0.00	7	29%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,0.06	-0.02	0.10	0.03	21	60%	0.41	7	-0.35	1	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.09	-0.00	7	55%	0.06	1	-0.13	8	100%	0.07
Boris Diaw	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.01	-0.15	0.00	14	50%	-0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.67,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.46,0.46,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.7	0.70	0.18	0.52	-0.00	21	65%	0.81	1	-0.11	9	89%	0.05
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.52	0.52	0.04	0.49	0.01	31	57%	0.77	6	-0.25	14	93%	0.15
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.11	0.00	8	76%	0.27	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	62%	0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.07	0.00	8	83%	0.13	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.06
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.4,-0.4,-0.32,-0.32,-0.42,-0.23	-0.23	-0.12	-0.11	0.01	19	34%	-0.15	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2		OT3	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	26.3	16.3	23.5	2.5	36.2	2.6	14.4	1.8	13.2	2.5	19.3	186.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	1.8	17.8	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +17.0%

DEN +38.5%

PHX -3.4%

DEN +8.2%

PHX -10.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.4	15.6	114.2	115.8	104.4
season	13.8	14.4		110.2	103.5
opponent	15.9	16.1		103.5	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	13.5	16.5	14.2	17.8	17.3	15.6
DEN	14.2	16.3	17.1	13.5	18.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	81	83	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.08	1	-3	4	15.8	16.7	-0.84	15.0	16.2	-1.18
Raja Bell	99	97	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.04	-1	-1	0	16.5	14.1	2.43	15.7	14.3	1.41
Steve Nash	97	98	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.12	-3	1	-4	16.9	12.8	4.05	15.5	14.8	0.71
Eddie House	40	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.52	4	-6	10	13.2	17.5	-4.28	14.8	15.7	-0.90
Kurt Thomas	87	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	0	-2	16.7	14.4	2.31	15.9	14.3	1.59
James Jones	79	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	0	-2	15.2	17.8	-2.59	15.4	15.4	0.01
Shawn Marion	108	109	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	3	-8	16.3	14.2	2.15	15.2	16.9	-1.66

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	77	76	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.59	5	-3	8	14.9	16.3	-1.41	16.2	16.0	0.19
Earl Boykins	90	89	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.59	4	-2	6	15.5	15.2	0.22	16.3	15.5	0.74
Earl Watson	80	79	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.47	8	-6	14	14.8	16.6	-1.87	16.9	14.6	2.34
Carmelo Anthony	95	95	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.47	5	-3	8	15.4	15.4	0.05	16.9	12.9	4.07
Andre Miller	93	95	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	-1	4	15.8	13.9	2.00	17.0	12.8	4.22
Linas Kleiza	16	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	2	-2	14.4	15.5	-1.11	12.3	16.6	-4.38
DerMarr Johnson	43	43	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.02	-8	10	-18	15.8	15.2	0.61	13.9	17.4	-3.49
Francisco Elson	52	52	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.20	-3	5	-8	16.1	14.9	1.26	15.9	16.3	-0.38
Greg Buckner	46	47	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.19	-4	6	-10	15.0	15.6	-0.65	14.1	17.4	-3.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.15,0.37,0.33,0.58,0.46,0.68,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.43,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 97, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.35,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.07,0.28,0.33,0.58,0	87.8%
BOS 95, ORL 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.31,0.46,0.33,0.42,0	87.7%
MIN 105, OKC 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.1,0.58,0	87.7%