NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	112		Excitement	7.5 [347]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +50.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	109		Comeback	10.1 [65]		LVP	Shaun Livingston (LAC): -31.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.50	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.26,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.5	0.12	0.35	-0.04	41	54%	0.55	3	-0.04	10	90%	0.04
Brian Cook	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2	0.13	0.08	0.01	9	80%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Smush Parker	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.04	-0.02	0.06	0.01	8	40%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Kwame Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	5	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03
Sasha Vujacic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Mihm	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	12	47%	-0.05	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.38	0.38	0.06	0.33	0.01	21	54%	0.43	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.06
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.26	0.04	0.04	18	77%	0.34	2	-0.07	11	91%	0.03
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	69%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.07	0.02	11	58%	0.03	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	8	39%	-0.03	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.31	-0.31	-0.05	-0.26	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	3	-0.31	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	34.3	16.4	27.1	0.8	42.8	151.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +11.8%

LAC -23.1%

LAL +19.3%

LAL +38.1%

LAL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	16.3	14.9	15.6	121.7	117.2	104.4
season	15.6	15.2		106.2	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.8	19.0	15.3	18.4	16.3
LAC	16.7	13.1	16.7	12.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	86	87	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-6	15	16.3	15.5	0.84	15.1	10.8	4.30
Kwame Brown	75	75	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.72	-4	7	-11	17.3	11.9	5.33	14.7	15.6	-0.86
Lamar Odom	82	82	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-5	13	15.4	23.9	-8.55	14.5	17.9	-3.46
Sasha Vujacic	41	42	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.31	3	0	3	17.1	15.6	1.43	15.3	14.5	0.82
Chris Mihm	69	70	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	-3	9	15.2	19.7	-4.49	14.7	15.3	-0.59
Brian Cook	35	37	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	-5	13	16.4	16.2	0.19	15.9	14.2	1.76
Von Wafer	6	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	3	-3	18.0	16.2	1.84	14.2	14.9	-0.74
Smush Parker	51	51	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	9	-15	15.4	17.4	-2.09	14.1	15.8	-1.69
Devean George	15	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.17	-9	12	-21	21.3	15.3	6.03	16.0	14.6	1.36

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	33	31	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.24	14	-17	31	14.1	15.3	-1.15	15.6	16.6	-0.96
Daniel Ewing	34	33	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.12	-4	1	-5	14.6	15.0	-0.38	15.4	16.8	-1.34
Quinton Ross	38	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	1	-5	15.1	14.7	0.46	15.9	16.5	-0.65
Elton Brand	78	77	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-1	-1	14.8	15.1	-0.33	16.0	17.5	-1.49
Chris Kaman	63	64	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.28	1	-4	5	15.0	14.6	0.33	17.7	13.1	4.62
Sam Cassell	67	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-5	7	15.0	14.4	0.61	16.5	15.7	0.77
Shaun Livingston	52	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.56	4	-7	11	14.2	15.7	-1.56	17.0	15.3	1.65
Cuttino Mobley	88	88	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	4	-11	15.1	10.4	4.71	16.2	18.5	-2.32
James Singleton	12	12	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.12	-19	16	-35	16.7	14.6	2.07	12.0	16.9	-4.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.66,0.34,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 106, CHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.48,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.15,0.23,0.03,0	91.9%
MIL 105, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.8,0.71,0.64,0.42,0.3,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0	89.9%
DET 103, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.4,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.02,0	89.9%