inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 92 Excitement2.0 [1302] MVPShaquille O'Neal (MIA): +11.9%
Miami Heat 111 Comeback1.2 [1141] LVPZaza Pachulia (ATL): -9.7%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Edwards0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.02750%0.0400.002100%0.00
Royal Ivey0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Esteban Batista0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05212%0.0000.00425%0.00
Salim Stoudamire-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.01744%0.021-0.022100%-0.00
Marvin Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.180.000.181470%-0.0000.00978%-0.00
Josh Childress-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.051161%-0.012-0.0010%0.00
John Thomas-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Al Harrington-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.01950%-0.022-0.016100%0.02
Tyronn Lue-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01250%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.000.000.03952%-0.011-0.02771%-0.00
Josh Smith-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01727%-0.041-0.0110%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.12-0.00-0.03915%-0.081-0.02250%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.210.000.091578%0.141-0.02633%-0.02
Gerald Fitch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.00768%0.0620.00875%0.00
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.01567%0.0300.002100%-0.00
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.02283%0.0300.002100%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.021348%0.0100.005100%0.02
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02670%0.043-0.03887%0.01
Wayne Simien0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.06520%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.090.00-0.09525%-0.002-0.00250%-0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.000.011250%-0.012-0.022100%0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.00450%-0.003-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.031.815.729.33.430.2139.6
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +32.9%
MIA +5.8%
MIA +7.0%
MIA +3.4%
MIA +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMIANBAATLMIANBA
this game14.914.715.693.9114.4104.4
season15.615.5103.9106.1
opponent15.515.5102.3109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.515.115.812.414.9
MIA12.316.915.514.314.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Esteban Batista16160.00-0.500.50-0.238-273511.715.5-3.7413.414.9-1.46
John Thomas119-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-181714.514.9-0.4814.214.7-0.48
John Edwards3737-0.05-0.450.39-0.143-222515.014.80.2016.513.53.04
Marvin Williams5755-0.09-0.410.33-0.328-273513.816.4-2.6414.714.7-0.01
Royal Ivey1513-0.09-0.410.310.20-10-9-117.814.33.4513.314.9-1.56
Josh Childress6160-0.15-0.350.20-0.367-263314.315.9-1.6315.014.10.89
Salim Stoudamire5052-0.18-0.320.15-0.180-191914.415.4-0.9715.313.91.40
Tyronn Lue3738-0.27-0.23-0.040.02-10-9-113.915.5-1.6314.814.50.30
Josh Smith5960-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.01-11-8-314.615.3-0.6314.215.3-1.07
Zaza Pachulia4040-0.42-0.08-0.330.43-2910-3915.914.11.8113.715.3-1.55
Al Harrington4847-0.44-0.06-0.380.38-289-3716.013.82.2814.315.0-0.66
Joe Johnson5958-0.46-0.04-0.430.47-3213-4516.312.73.5914.415.0-0.53

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Payton53530.450.050.39-0.4932-134514.315.1-0.7516.413.13.27
Shaquille O'Neal48490.390.110.28-0.5833-144714.115.2-1.1416.613.23.43
James Posey56550.380.120.26-0.4729-103914.514.9-0.3415.813.72.14
Udonis Haslem44430.350.150.21-0.4728-93713.815.4-1.5816.813.43.37
Dwyane Wade46480.340.160.18-0.4828-93714.714.60.1516.413.52.89
Jason Kapono64650.250.25-0.000.45-726-3314.714.50.2214.016.7-2.70
Antoine Walker39410.150.35-0.210.29-524-2916.313.62.6713.815.7-1.89
Michael Doleac44440.110.39-0.280.40-1029-3915.414.11.3313.516.0-2.58
Gerald Fitch47480.080.42-0.330.44-1231-4315.414.01.4413.316.4-3.07
Dorell Wright25250.000.50-0.500.38-1332-4514.014.9-0.9412.215.8-3.65
Wayne Simien19190.000.50-0.500.23-827-3513.215.0-1.8711.815.6-3.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 86, HOU 1180.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
CLE 92, MIL 1080.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,197.4%
ATL 92, ORL 1140.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%