NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	2.7 [1229]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (MIL): +13.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	108		Comeback	1.0 [1302]		LVP	Collin Sexton (CLE): -13.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaron Blossomgame	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	5	92%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	7	86%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	69%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	0.00	0.10	12	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	13	32%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jalen Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	4	10%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Alec Burks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	8	19%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	21%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	13	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Collin Sexton	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.00	0.04	18	37%	-0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.00	-0.02	15	67%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	55%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	12	72%	0.04	3	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
D.J. Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	9	63%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	29%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	21%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	0.07	7	56%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	16	44%	-0.01	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.0	24.8	14.5	25.4	2.4	25.3	117.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +40.5%

MIL +0.7%

MIL +11.3%

CLE -4.0%

MIL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	15.1	13.7	14.3	92.0	108.0	109.3
season	15.5	13.5		106.3	112.4
opponent	14.3	13.9		104.0	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.7	15.7	15.4	13.6	15.1
MIL	11.0	12.0	15.3	17.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Nance Jr.	52	51	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-22	28	13.6	16.9	-3.30	15.1	12.1	2.97
Jaron Blossomgame	55	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-19	22	13.2	17.5	-4.35	15.3	11.8	3.45
Jordan Clarkson	44	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-10	4	14.0	16.0	-2.00	13.6	13.7	-0.08
Jalen Jones	40	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-11	6	13.8	16.0	-2.23	14.1	13.4	0.68
Matthew Dellavedova	34	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-13	10	13.9	15.8	-1.82	13.0	14.0	-1.00
Tristan Thompson	36	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-6	-4	17.3	13.9	3.34	12.1	14.6	-2.59
Channing Frye	12	11	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-4	-8	15.6	15.1	0.50	12.5	13.8	-1.35
Rodney Hood	43	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	-2	-12	17.0	13.7	3.30	11.9	15.0	-3.11
Collin Sexton	66	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-3	-10	15.8	13.9	1.82	14.0	13.0	1.00
Cedi Osman	60	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-3	-10	16.4	13.3	3.07	13.4	14.2	-0.80
Alec Burks	58	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	-3	-10	16.1	13.8	2.29	13.6	13.8	-0.23

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	50	50	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.47	32	-16	48	12.6	14.7	-2.04	16.9	13.4	3.52
Khris Middleton	59	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.19	20	-4	24	12.9	14.8	-1.86	16.4	13.5	2.94
Sterling Brown	63	64	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	9	-2	13.7	13.6	0.06	15.1	15.2	-0.13
Eric Bledsoe	57	58	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.19	19	-3	22	13.2	14.2	-1.00	16.1	13.8	2.38
Donte DiVincenzo	26	27	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	7	2	15.6	13.0	2.59	14.9	15.2	-0.39
Malcolm Brogdon	62	60	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	12	-8	13.5	14.0	-0.51	15.1	15.2	-0.06
Thon Maker	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	20	-24	13.9	13.5	0.37	12.8	16.3	-3.42
George Hill	27	28	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	11	-6	13.9	13.6	0.31	13.9	15.6	-1.78
Tony Snell	41	41	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.26	-6	22	-28	13.0	14.1	-1.16	14.0	15.9	-1.97
Ersan Ilyasova	46	45	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.23	10	6	4	13.0	14.2	-1.18	15.7	14.7	0.96
Jason Smith	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.25	-9	25	-34	20.6	13.0	7.58	12.0	15.5	-3.45
D.J. Wilson	27	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.19	-7	23	-30	16.0	12.8	3.15	13.6	15.7	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 77, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
PHI 85, DET 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
TOR 64, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%