NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	86		Excitement	2.4 [1256]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +15.2%
Houston Rockets	118		Comeback	1.1 [1303]		LVP	David Nwaba (CHI): -5.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Denzel Valentine	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.08	12	46%	0.05	3	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Noah Vonleh	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.01	0.04	9	60%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	15	63%	0.04	5	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Bobby Portis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	10	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	9	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Cristiano Felicio	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	7	14%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	8	33%	-0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.29	-0.00	0.13	17	86%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.16	0.00	0.11	12	72%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	14	42%	0.01	2	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.05	7	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
RJ Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zhou Qi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	78%	0.00	1	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	25%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	9	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.6	23.7	14.7	26.5	1.8	27.2	117.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +19.2%

HOU +7.3%

HOU +7.8%

HOU +12.9%

HOU +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	HOU	NBA	CHI	HOU	NBA
this game	14.0	14.5	14.7	85.1	116.8	107.5
season	14.2	14.6		103.2	112.8
opponent	14.8	15.0		105.6	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.9	13.1	13.2	13.5	14.0
HOU	15.1	14.6	13.5	14.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Arcidiacono	16	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-36	40	11.1	14.6	-3.48	15.6	14.3	1.30
Jerian Grant	38	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-33	34	13.0	14.7	-1.64	15.4	13.9	1.44
Denzel Valentine	65	63	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-35	38	12.4	16.9	-4.50	14.7	14.0	0.70
Sean Kilpatrick	38	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-28	24	13.0	14.7	-1.72	15.4	13.8	1.59
Noah Vonleh	54	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-27	22	12.9	15.4	-2.45	15.3	13.5	1.77
Bobby Portis	58	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.23	-14	-18	4	12.6	16.0	-3.32	14.4	14.6	-0.24
Cristiano Felicio	22	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-22	12	16.6	13.3	3.25	14.1	14.6	-0.48
Justin Holiday	48	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.64	-36	4	-40	15.9	12.4	3.48	13.4	15.4	-2.00
David Nwaba	62	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.20	-22	-10	-12	14.3	13.7	0.58	14.6	14.3	0.24
Lauri Markkanen	57	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.73	-40	8	-48	16.4	11.1	5.28	13.8	15.4	-1.63
Cameron Payne	47	48	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.60	-37	5	-42	15.9	12.5	3.41	13.4	15.4	-2.04

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	54	55	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.63	38	-6	44	13.7	15.4	-1.68	15.8	12.0	3.84
Trevor Ariza	53	54	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.61	36	-4	40	14.0	15.0	-1.02	15.4	12.5	2.84
PJ Tucker	55	56	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.35	25	7	18	14.4	14.5	-0.10	14.8	13.2	1.61
Nene	43	43	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.60	32	0	32	13.4	15.3	-1.86	16.1	12.5	3.64
Joe Johnson	62	60	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	27	-22	15.3	13.2	2.05	13.0	15.6	-2.54
Ryan Anderson	49	50	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	28	-24	14.8	14.1	0.72	12.5	15.6	-3.07
Chris Paul	58	59	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.41	21	11	10	14.3	14.7	-0.36	14.2	13.8	0.41
Gerald Green	65	65	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.12	2	30	-28	14.8	13.9	0.81	12.7	16.6	-3.89
Tarik Black	26	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	30	-28	14.7	14.4	0.31	13.5	14.2	-0.70
RJ Hunter	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	35	-38	15.2	14.3	0.92	12.8	14.4	-1.63
Zhou Qi	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	34	-36	15.4	14.3	1.19	11.8	14.5	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 76, CHA 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
ATL 92, MIA 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
DET 75, BKN 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%