NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	66		Excitement	3.3 [1158]		MVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): +7.8%
Indiana Pacers	80		Comeback	1.0 [1296]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -16.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Tsakalidis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	8	65%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hakim Warrick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.04	10	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Antonio Burks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	8	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	0.01	12	32%	-0.11	3	-0.05	10	70%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	7	65%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	19	49%	0.04	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Eddie Gill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	16	48%	0.03	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	10	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.01	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	32.3	15.7	21.1	2.5	24.5	122.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +26.0%

IND +11.2%

IND +8.9%

MEM -3.0%

IND +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	IND	NBA	MEM	IND	NBA
this game	16.5	16.8	15.6	76.7	92.0	104.4
season	17.1	16.0		103.5	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		100.8	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.2	16.4	15.9	15.5	16.5
IND	16.1	16.4	16.9	17.9	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Tsakalidis	25	28	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.29	10	-24	34	16.9	16.3	0.57	17.6	16.4	1.17
Hakim Warrick	25	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-17	20	16.4	16.5	-0.16	18.0	16.4	1.63
Dahntay Jones	12	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-19	24	15.8	16.6	-0.75	17.4	16.7	0.64
Antonio Burks	27	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-14	14	16.6	16.4	0.17	17.4	16.6	0.80
Mike Miller	55	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-6	-2	16.5	16.5	-0.01	16.9	16.7	0.12
Shane Battier	67	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-3	-8	16.6	15.9	0.68	16.6	17.7	-1.18
Lorenzen Wright	44	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	3	-20	16.5	16.4	0.14	16.6	17.0	-0.33
Damon Stoudamire	59	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	0	-14	16.4	16.6	-0.17	16.6	17.4	-0.80
Pau Gasol	61	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	5	-24	16.7	16.0	0.62	16.3	18.0	-1.69
Eddie Jones	55	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.08	-19	5	-24	16.1	17.2	-1.17	16.7	17.0	-0.24

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	69	68	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.05	17	-3	20	17.1	15.6	1.52	16.3	17.3	-1.01
Jermaine O'Neal	66	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	1	12	15.8	19.9	-4.01	16.8	15.5	1.32
Austin Croshere	46	48	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	2	10	17.2	16.3	0.90	16.7	16.2	0.57
Sarunas Jasikevicius	58	57	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	3	8	16.2	18.1	-1.98	16.8	15.8	0.98
Fred Jones	56	55	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	6	2	16.9	16.7	0.12	16.5	16.5	-0.01
Jeff Foster	34	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	8	-2	18.7	15.6	3.05	16.3	16.6	-0.28
Stephen Jackson	62	61	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.12	1	13	-12	16.4	17.8	-1.32	16.7	16.0	0.62
Danny Granger	42	40	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	12	-10	17.4	16.3	1.05	16.0	16.8	-0.80
Eddie Gill	2	3	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	14	-14	15.0	16.9	-1.86	8.0	16.8	-8.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 75, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
CHI 89, ORL 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.79,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
WAS 92, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,1	96.0%