NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	77		Excitement	6.0 [612]		MVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): +18.0%
Orlando Magic	85		Comeback	1.7 [918]		LVP	Brevin Knight (CHA): -16.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Bogans	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	11	62%	0.14	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Sean May	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.09	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Bernard Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	9	44%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	8	44%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	35%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.07
Brevin Knight	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.04	-0.03	8	12%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.12	0.01	7	68%	0.19	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.01	11	66%	0.16	1	-0.00	10	70%	-0.04
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	52%	0.09	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	10	57%	0.06	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	10	42%	-0.00	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	11	21%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	6	19%	-0.07	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	31.2	16.5	24.6	2.4	28.6	131.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +32.7%

ORL +1.8%

ORL +19.5%

CHA -0.7%

CHA -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ORL	NBA	CHA	ORL	NBA
this game	16.1	18.2	15.6	91.7	101.2	104.4
season	14.8	16.4		100.5	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.5	17.8	15.7	16.6	16.1
ORL	16.8	17.3	20.4	18.4	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bernard Robinson	24	22	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.24	15	-23	38	15.5	16.3	-0.79	17.9	18.3	-0.37
Keith Bogans	56	54	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.34	16	-24	40	15.3	17.7	-2.46	19.9	15.1	4.84
Sean May	52	50	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-19	30	15.7	16.8	-1.19	18.5	17.7	0.84
Raymond Felton	27	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-6	4	17.8	15.3	2.52	15.9	19.3	-3.43
Jake Voskuhl	26	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-4	0	15.1	16.6	-1.44	17.6	18.4	-0.87
Matt Carroll	13	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	0	-8	19.5	15.5	3.97	14.5	18.9	-4.40
Emeka Okafor	38	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	3	-14	17.9	14.6	3.36	18.8	17.7	1.10
Primoz Brezec	53	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	0	-8	15.6	17.0	-1.36	17.7	19.0	-1.33
Jumaine Jones	29	29	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	9	-26	16.9	15.7	1.21	15.6	19.5	-3.91
Brevin Knight	58	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	1	-10	15.4	17.6	-2.18	19.3	15.7	3.55
Kareem Rush	44	48	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	0.01	-23	15	-38	15.9	16.3	-0.37	18.9	17.2	1.72

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	63	62	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.15	22	-14	36	18.5	17.2	1.32	16.3	15.6	0.70
Steve Francis	65	64	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.10	17	-9	26	18.5	16.9	1.59	16.0	16.6	-0.65
Tony Battie	60	58	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-4	16	19.1	16.0	3.11	15.2	18.2	-2.96
DeShawn Stevenson	63	64	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	-3	14	18.7	16.7	1.95	16.0	16.3	-0.32
Hedo Turkoglu	55	53	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	8	-8	18.3	17.9	0.38	16.0	16.3	-0.29
Pat Garrity	10	9	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	3	2	13.0	18.9	-5.88	19.6	15.7	3.86
Keyon Dooling	36	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	5	-2	16.0	19.8	-3.76	16.5	15.8	0.67
Jameer Nelson	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.35	-7	15	-22	18.7	17.9	0.80	16.3	16.0	0.32
Kelvin Cato	12	13	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	17	-26	16.8	18.4	-1.57	18.8	15.6	3.24
Bo Outlaw	23	26	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.09	-14	22	-36	17.9	18.3	-0.37	15.2	16.5	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.59,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 85, MIA 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.56,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.7%
WAS 101, MIN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
HOU 91, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,1	92.9%