NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	6.1 [597]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +18.6%
Chicago Bulls	103		Comeback	1.3 [1026]		LVP	Gordan Giricek (UTA): -8.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.01	5	57%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Jarron Collins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	3	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06	0.11	-0.02	0.03	19	67%	0.19	4	-0.13	11	73%	-0.01
Andre Owens	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Deron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	15	43%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Devin Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	13	54%	0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.05	0.01	12	68%	0.19	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.11	0.02	12	66%	0.22	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Andres Nocioni	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.12	-0.01	0.12	-0.02	11	54%	0.21	3	-0.09	6	50%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.01	10	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	10	77%	0.19	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	25.0	14.8	26.3	2.4	40.4	134.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +60.4%

CHI +1.8%

UTA -12.4%

CHI +1.4%

UTA -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHI	NBA	UTA	CHI	NBA
this game	18.6	13.2	15.6	107.7	114.4	104.4
season	17.0	14.4		101.7	102.6
opponent	16.1	15.0		102.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.7	19.0	19.5	17.2	18.6
CHI	12.7	13.7	13.9	12.8	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Owens	22	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.09	1	-6	7	19.0	18.4	0.58	13.7	13.1	0.65
Greg Ostertag	37	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-4	3	19.1	18.2	0.97	13.9	12.8	1.16
Andrei Kirilenko	19	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	1	-7	21.0	17.9	3.08	13.1	13.3	-0.23
Devin Brown	45	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.32	6	-11	17	17.4	19.7	-2.25	14.1	12.4	1.68
Milt Palacio	24	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.27	3	-8	11	17.2	19.0	-1.78	12.7	13.4	-0.66
Mehmet Okur	78	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-8	11	18.2	20.5	-2.31	13.7	10.2	3.51
Keith McLeod	48	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	4	-13	18.2	19.0	-0.83	12.8	13.7	-0.83
Deron Williams	52	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.41	4	-9	13	18.5	18.6	-0.14	13.0	13.5	-0.48
Gordan Giricek	61	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	2	-9	19.1	17.4	1.78	13.0	13.7	-0.78
Kris Humphries	19	19	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	10	-25	18.4	18.6	-0.24	10.2	14.1	-3.90
Jarron Collins	50	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-1	-3	19.0	18.0	0.93	13.3	13.1	0.24

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	57	57	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-6	17	12.4	14.8	-2.41	17.9	19.6	-1.69
Kirk Hinrich	66	66	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-3	11	13.7	12.0	1.63	17.8	20.4	-2.59
Tyson Chandler	74	74	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	6	-7	13.7	11.2	2.49	18.1	20.5	-2.35
Michael Sweetney	38	40	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.15	14	-9	23	11.2	14.7	-3.46	19.6	17.8	1.81
Andres Nocioni	52	53	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.38	-4	9	-13	13.9	12.3	1.63	17.9	19.4	-1.48
Chris Duhon	72	74	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.46	-7	12	-19	13.8	10.8	3.00	18.6	18.6	-0.03
Ben Gordon	42	42	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	-4	13	11.5	14.7	-3.21	19.7	17.6	2.10
Othella Harrington	29	29	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	4	-3	13.3	13.2	0.06	19.2	18.3	0.90
Darius Songaila	20	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	11	-17	16.0	12.4	3.62	20.7	18.0	2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 96, UTA 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.84,0.95,0.95,1	93.5%
CLE 102, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.58,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	93.4%
MIA 99, PHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,1	93.4%