NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	96		Excitement	5.9 [601]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +22.9%
Utah Jazz	102		Comeback	1.1 [854]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): -19.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.16	0.14	0.02	-0.00	25	67%	0.22	3	-0.06	11	91%	0.07
Eldridge Recasner	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	6	83%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ivano Newbill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.09	12	83%	0.04
Mookie Blaylock	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	17	37%	-0.15	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.15	-0.00	25	59%	0.32	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
John Stockton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.07	0.01	9	73%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	1	150%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	8	76%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	8	41%	-0.02	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	25.0	14.8	25.1	2.5	34.4	126.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +64.2%

ATL -21.7%

UTA +23.2%

ATL -12.1%

ATL -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	UTA	NBA	ATL	UTA	NBA
this game	18.1	17.7	15.6	118.5	127.5	104.4
season	16.4	15.6		105.3	110.8
opponent	16.0	16.0		102.2	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.1	20.3	17.2	17.9	18.1
UTA	14.8	15.7	20.7	19.9	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	73	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.28	4	-10	14	17.8	21.4	-3.62	17.6	18.6	-1.07
Ivano Newbill	30	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	3	-12	19.6	17.2	2.42	17.1	18.0	-0.89
Christian Laettner	61	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.50	10	-16	26	17.7	19.3	-1.65	18.3	15.5	2.78
Eldridge Recasner	36	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-1	-4	18.7	17.7	1.00	19.8	16.0	3.85
Steven Smith	79	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.28	-8	2	-10	17.8	30.5	-12.70	17.5	25.0	-7.53
Dikembe Mutombo	79	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.28	-8	2	-10	17.8	30.5	-12.70	17.5	25.0	-7.53
Tyrone Corbin	47	47	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.12	-14	8	-22	18.9	17.1	1.76	16.4	19.5	-3.10

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	61	61	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.37	15	-9	24	17.7	17.7	-0.03	17.1	21.1	-4.04
Bryon Russell	57	57	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.36	14	-8	22	17.5	18.0	-0.41	17.1	20.4	-3.28
Greg Ostertag	43	44	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.18	14	-8	22	19.2	15.9	3.34	19.5	16.4	3.14
Karl Malone	67	67	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-2	10	17.8	17.1	0.70	17.5	21.1	-3.67
John Stockton	63	63	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.34	0	6	-6	17.4	18.5	-1.03	18.2	17.9	0.29
Howard Eisley	17	18	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	0	6	18.5	17.4	1.03	17.9	18.2	-0.29
Greg Foster	33	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	10	-14	16.0	18.8	-2.83	16.4	19.3	-2.95
Stephen Howard	2	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	9	-12	17.5	17.7	-0.17	18.5	18.1	0.41
Chris Morris	5	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	7	-8	19.6	17.5	2.07	20.0	18.0	2.01
Antoine Carr	15	14	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	9	-12	16.4	18.0	-1.55	20.6	17.6	3.06
Adam Keefe	18	19	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.02	-7	13	-20	17.5	17.7	-0.21	20.5	17.4	3.16
Shandon Anderson	19	20	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.05	-9	15	-24	17.7	17.7	0.03	21.1	17.1	4.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.84,0.95,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.96,1	93.5%
SAS 88, MEM 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.7,0.84,0.82,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.9,0.85,1	93.3%
ATL 93, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.79,0.66,0.85,0.7,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.84,0.99,1,1	92.9%