inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 99 Excitement6.6 [473] MVPKeith Van Horn (PHI): +17.6%
Philadelphia 76ers 104 Comeback1.1 [1027] LVPAllen Iverson (PHI): -32.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie House0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.03570%0.042-0.0300%0.00
Travis Best0.000,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,00.030.000.03869%0.022-0.0100%0.00
Anthony Carter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00260%0.0000.00667%-0.02
Rasual Butler-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Malik Allen-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.030.05-0.040.041164%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Brian Grant-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.040.01580%0.052-0.07580%0.01
LaPhonso Ellis-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.050.00739%-0.0800.004100%0.02
Mike James-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.0030%-0.051-0.0500%0.00
Vladimir Stepania-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.05-0.00617%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Caron Butler-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.04-0.070.011256%0.033-0.148100%0.07
Eddie Jones-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.06-0.011848%-0.052-0.061070%-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keith Van Horn0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.150.040.021970%0.201-0.02978%-0.01
Brian Skinner0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.040.01686%0.131-0.022100%0.03
Eric Snow0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001158%0.0300.001493%0.08
Efthimios Rentzias00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron McKie0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.03-0.011233%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kenny Satterfield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Todd MacCulloch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Derrick Coleman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.040.00350%-0.031-0.032100%0.01
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00125%-0.031-0.04250%-0.01
Allen Iverson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32-0.32-0.21-0.13-0.022242%-0.145-0.181560%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.22.439.215.025.51.837.9143.0
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +31.7%
PHI +3.3%
PHI +7.1%
PHI +6.7%
PHI +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPHINBAMIAPHINBA
this game15.515.015.5105.3109.5101.6
season16.315.394.6102.1
opponent15.515.999.9100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA18.615.414.014.315.5
PHI16.415.215.413.315.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Carter39390.18-0.680.86-0.2013-183113.816.7-2.8815.614.60.96
LaPhonso Ellis43430.17-0.670.84-0.109-142314.316.4-2.0816.014.21.78
Vladimir Stepania25250.04-0.540.570.040-5514.615.8-1.1417.214.23.04
Eddie House2424-0.04-0.460.43-0.01-1-4314.615.8-1.1515.115.00.17
Rasual Butler76-0.07-0.430.35-0.02-2-3118.615.23.3414.715.0-0.36
Mike James2828-0.10-0.400.300.05-50-516.215.21.1016.314.51.82
Eddie Jones8284-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.35-2-3115.117.9-2.7915.015.2-0.21
Caron Butler7879-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.39-3-2-115.515.20.3514.517.6-3.08
Malik Allen6263-0.550.05-0.60-0.35-72-915.814.81.0614.815.3-0.47
Travis Best2728-0.580.08-0.65-0.20-138-2117.114.82.2912.915.9-2.94
Brian Grant5556-0.650.15-0.80-0.24-149-2316.813.73.1014.216.2-2.00

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keith Van Horn76750.58-0.080.660.377-2915.214.01.2515.913.91.99
Brian Skinner63610.53-0.030.550.3850514.316.4-2.0716.314.02.33
Eric Snow90890.470.030.450.248-31115.211.83.3815.515.00.51
Allen Iverson88870.410.090.310.3523-115.113.61.5415.218.6-3.34
Aaron McKie64630.270.230.040.1541315.015.00.0016.014.51.48
John Salmons29290.270.230.040.2123-114.115.4-1.3414.715.8-1.19
Kenny Satterfield990.070.43-0.350.10-16-711.715.3-3.6812.915.8-2.86
Derrick Coleman35360.010.49-0.480.0105-515.814.51.3116.115.10.93
Todd MacCulloch76-0.040.54-0.58-0.01-16-714.315.1-0.7710.815.8-4.96
Efthimios Rentzias1415-0.080.58-0.65-0.05-16-717.314.62.6813.015.9-2.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 82, LAC 900.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.98,194.3%
UTA 98, CHI 1030.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.96,193.4%
ORL 85, ATL 880.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.67,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.96,0.92,193.1%