NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	5.0 [827]		MVP	Smush Parker (LAL): +18.7%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	2.3 [252]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -11.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Smush Parker	0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.04	-0.02	9	84%	0.22	3	-0.04	7	57%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.03	0.01	26	59%	0.20	1	-0.01	11	64%	-0.02
Devean George	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	45%	0.00	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	10	60%	-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	16	49%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
John Edwards	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donta Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Esteban Batista	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	68%	0.11	5	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.04	6	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	20	57%	0.07	5	-0.12	6	50%	-0.03
Josh Childress	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.05	3	62%	-0.01	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.04
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	0.03	10	62%	0.04	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	9	40%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	491.6	2.8	41.7	16.0	25.3	2.6	34.0	614.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.2%

ATL -3.4%

ATL -6.8%

LAL +25.2%

ATL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	13.9	16.0	15.6	105.1	102.1	104.4
season	15.6	15.6		106.2	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		109.3	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.3	12.0	15.1	14.3	13.9
ATL	14.0	16.8	17.0	16.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	78	74	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.03	19	-13	32	13.3	16.3	-3.02	15.9	16.2	-0.33
Smush Parker	72	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-9	24	13.5	15.1	-1.66	16.5	14.3	2.20
Kobe Bryant	76	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-6	18	14.1	13.2	0.92	16.1	15.6	0.50
Lamar Odom	92	90	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.35	0	6	-6	13.7	16.2	-2.42	16.0	15.6	0.40
Kwame Brown	50	48	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	-3	12	14.7	13.0	1.68	15.4	16.6	-1.26
Brian Cook	31	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	5	-4	13.3	14.2	-0.89	16.4	15.8	0.66
Laron Profit	31	30	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.32	-8	14	-22	13.8	14.0	-0.18	16.1	15.9	0.23
Sasha Vujacic	26	24	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.32	-9	15	-24	15.1	13.5	1.66	14.3	16.5	-2.20
Andrew Bynum	8	7	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	5	-4	11.2	14.1	-2.88	17.1	15.9	1.26
Aaron McKie	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	15	-24	21.2	13.6	7.66	11.7	16.2	-4.41
Chris Mihm	22	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	7	-8	14.8	13.6	1.13	16.6	15.8	0.86

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Edwards	6	6	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.04	5	-11	16	13.7	16.1	-2.47	16.0	13.8	2.24
Donta Smith	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-4	2	20.5	15.9	4.62	4.0	14.0	-10.00
Tyronn Lue	61	61	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-5	4	16.4	15.2	1.16	13.6	14.3	-0.68
Josh Smith	44	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.33	6	-12	18	15.0	16.8	-1.78	12.7	14.9	-2.24
Esteban Batista	4	5	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-1	-4	16.7	15.9	0.80	9.6	14.1	-4.53
Josh Childress	51	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-5	4	16.3	15.7	0.60	14.2	13.6	0.63
Marvin Williams	53	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.36	2	-8	10	15.5	16.5	-1.02	14.2	13.5	0.72
Salim Stoudamire	40	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-6	6	15.5	16.3	-0.74	14.3	13.6	0.64
Zaza Pachulia	55	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-3	0	16.2	15.6	0.61	14.9	12.4	2.56
Al Harrington	76	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	10	-26	16.4	14.4	1.95	13.7	14.5	-0.82
Joe Johnson	83	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.04	-15	9	-24	16.0	15.8	0.17	13.8	14.4	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.15,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, POR 60	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
SAC 110, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
CLE 104, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%