NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	82		Excitement	10.6 [55]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +76.1%
Boston Celtics	81		Comeback	18.8 [72]		LVP	Ricky Davis (BOS): -22.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.76	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.76	-0.04	0.78	-0.01	19	62%	1.05	8	-0.29	4	100%	0.03
Rasheed Wallace	0.22	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.02,-0.02,0.22	-0.02	0.26	0.01	13	47%	0.28	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Maurice Evans	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	4	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.06	0.00	8	37%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	40%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Antonio McDyess	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.02,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17	-0.03	-0.15	-0.01	15	41%	-0.15	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.41	0.41	-0.01	0.43	0.01	15	50%	0.53	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.15	-0.02	18	58%	0.31	4	-0.10	12	67%	-0.14
Delonte West	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.07	0.01	9	50%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	10	50%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	12	36%	-0.05	4	-0.17	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	30.1	15.6	27.2	2.5	34.5	134.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +41.3%

DET +2.8%

BOS -0.2%

DET +3.4%

DET +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BOS	NBA	DET	BOS	NBA
this game	17.2	14.8	15.6	92.1	89.0	104.4
season	16.9	14.8		108.3	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.8		104.8	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.3	16.5	17.0	19.1	17.2
BOS	15.0	13.5	16.5	14.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	74	74	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.60	7	-6	13	17.4	16.1	1.37	14.7	15.4	-0.65
Richard Hamilton	78	78	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.49	4	-3	7	17.3	16.6	0.65	14.2	18.6	-4.42
Tayshaun Prince	77	81	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.37	2	-1	3	16.8	19.6	-2.75	14.5	17.2	-2.67
Rasheed Wallace	76	79	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.38	0	1	-1	16.5	21.1	-4.54	14.9	14.6	0.28
Chauncey Billups	68	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	2	-3	16.7	18.7	-1.92	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Carlos Arroyo	21	23	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	-1	3	18.7	16.7	1.92	15.0	14.8	0.18
Maurice Evans	15	16	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	2	-3	20.9	16.4	4.49	18.8	14.0	4.84
Darko Milicic	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	2	-3	15.5	17.4	-1.87	13.4	15.0	-1.59
Carlos Delfino	8	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	4	-7	13.0	17.6	-4.62	16.1	14.7	1.43
Antonio McDyess	20	21	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	5	-9	19.5	16.5	3.03	15.7	14.6	1.10

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	67	66	0.57	-1.07	1.64	0.51	2	-3	5	15.0	14.3	0.72	16.9	18.1	-1.19
Brian Scalabrine	12	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	2	-5	17.4	14.4	2.99	13.4	17.7	-4.38
Orien Greene	23	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	0	-1	14.9	14.8	0.12	18.1	16.9	1.19
Al Jefferson	24	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	2	-5	17.0	14.0	2.96	19.7	16.3	3.42
Paul Pierce	75	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-5	9	14.5	16.3	-1.81	17.1	17.7	-0.64
Justin Reed	28	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	4	-9	15.5	14.5	0.98	18.6	16.6	2.00
Raef LaFrentz	69	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-3	5	14.2	16.8	-2.63	16.3	20.0	-3.78
Ricky Davis	79	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	0	-1	14.9	14.4	0.47	16.8	19.5	-2.74
Mark Blount	66	67	-0.52	0.01	-0.53	-0.54	1	-2	3	14.0	17.0	-2.94	16.7	18.6	-1.84
Kendrick Perkins	12	10	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.86	-1	0	-1	14.7	14.8	-0.09	24.9	16.2	8.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 110, OKC 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.86,0.71,0.78,0.42,0	92.0%
ORL 88, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.72,0	91.8%
GSW 103, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.28,0	91.3%