NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	4.8 [889]		MVP	Jumaine Jones (LAL): +15.5%
Golden State Warriors	126		Comeback	1.2 [1123]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -28.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.01	-0.02	10	82%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.02	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	9	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	6	29%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.11	-0.00	0.11	14	66%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.16	0.00	-0.13	9	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.15	-0.01	-0.08	8	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.24	-0.06	-0.02	27	37%	-0.11	6	-0.17	6	67%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	11	83%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	7	67%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.14	0.01	0.11	11	89%	0.08	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.05	14	69%	0.09	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	47%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	8	44%	0.01	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	2	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	18	45%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	25.2	16.7	27.1	1.7	27.1	123.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +28.0%

GSW +8.7%

GSW +0.8%

GSW +11.9%

GSW +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.2	13.6	15.5	99.0	126.0	104.0
season	15.7	15.0		105.8	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.3		104.7	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.6	15.1	17.6	15.8	15.2
GSW	14.6	14.3	11.9	13.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	44	44	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-31	35	14.0	16.1	-2.08	15.2	12.4	2.85
Slava Medvedenko	25	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.17	-6	-21	15	15.8	15.0	0.76	13.6	13.6	-0.04
Brian Cook	41	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.37	-20	-7	-13	15.6	14.9	0.71	13.1	14.0	-0.89
Devean George	35	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.58	-28	1	-29	17.1	14.2	2.87	13.1	13.9	-0.85
Kobe Bryant	77	79	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.37	-21	-6	-15	15.3	14.7	0.64	13.2	15.0	-1.82
Sasha Vujacic	49	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.39	-22	-5	-17	16.0	14.4	1.55	13.5	13.7	-0.29
Jumaine Jones	73	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-26	25	14.6	16.8	-2.23	14.1	12.4	1.70
Luke Walton	69	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-23	19	14.0	17.8	-3.75	14.1	12.5	1.59
Chucky Atkins	56	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-15	3	15.0	15.4	-0.35	13.8	13.4	0.42
Brian Grant	31	32	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.16	-25	-2	-23	16.4	14.7	1.73	11.4	14.6	-3.19

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	56	58	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.24	27	0	27	12.9	14.5	-1.67	15.0	15.4	-0.41
Baron Davis	68	69	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.36	31	-4	35	13.2	14.5	-1.26	15.6	14.3	1.35
Andris Biedrins	44	44	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.33	27	0	27	12.2	14.7	-2.47	15.5	14.9	0.63
Derek Fisher	59	59	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.35	27	0	27	13.9	13.2	0.74	15.4	14.9	0.49
Troy Murphy	66	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.44	30	-3	33	12.7	15.4	-2.77	15.5	14.7	0.82
Mike Dunleavy	49	48	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	22	-17	13.8	13.5	0.32	15.4	15.0	0.40
Adonal Foyle	56	56	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	27	-27	14.7	12.2	2.47	14.9	15.5	-0.63
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	18	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	32	-37	15.7	13.2	2.51	15.1	15.2	-0.10
Rodney White	27	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.15	-7	34	-41	15.4	12.9	2.46	13.3	15.9	-2.64
Jason Richardson	57	55	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.13	0	27	-27	13.9	13.2	0.78	15.1	15.3	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.7,0.8,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.81,0.82,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 82, HOU 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
GSW 77, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
LAL 99, CHI 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.73,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.96,1,1,1	94.7%