NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	98		Excitement	3.6 [1118]		MVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): +8.7%
Phoenix Suns	116		Comeback	1.4 [1020]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (SAC): -8.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Erik Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.05	14	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	29%	-0.00	2	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	15	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	10	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	17	42%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	12	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.01	0.07	15	73%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	61%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.01	0.08	23	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	11	73%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.01	0.06	5	94%	0.06	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Paul Shirley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	30.5	14.7	23.3	2.5	27.5	123.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +42.3%

PHX +10.5%

PHX +1.0%

SAC -3.6%

SAC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	16.2	12.3	15.5	97.0	114.9	104.0
season	14.7	13.5		108.1	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.6		106.2	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.2	15.7	17.3	15.5	16.2
PHX	12.6	12.0	10.4	14.5	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	47	48	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.25	11	-29	40	16.1	16.3	-0.25	13.3	11.4	1.90
Corliss Williamson	51	53	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.29	12	-30	42	15.7	16.7	-0.99	13.0	11.5	1.52
Greg Ostertag	46	47	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-26	34	16.5	16.0	0.51	13.1	11.7	1.40
Erik Daniels	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-19	20	16.2	16.2	-0.02	13.6	12.1	1.44
Darius Songaila	40	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-24	30	16.5	16.0	0.46	12.4	12.2	0.22
Eddie House	46	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.26	7	-25	32	16.8	15.7	1.11	13.1	11.7	1.39
Kenny Thomas	53	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.25	-23	5	-28	15.6	16.8	-1.17	11.8	12.9	-1.18
Mike Bibby	55	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.28	-25	7	-32	15.7	16.8	-1.11	11.7	13.1	-1.39
Brian Skinner	52	50	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.28	-28	10	-38	16.3	16.1	0.23	11.8	12.8	-1.02
Maurice Evans	50	48	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	0.32	-30	12	-42	16.7	15.7	0.99	11.5	13.0	-1.52
Cuttino Mobley	54	53	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.28	-29	11	-40	16.3	16.1	0.25	11.4	13.3	-1.90

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	73	75	0.66	-0.16	0.81	-0.20	29	-11	40	11.3	15.0	-3.76	16.9	14.3	2.60
Shawn Marion	67	66	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.31	32	-14	46	11.4	14.2	-2.85	16.6	15.5	1.13
Amar'e Stoudemire	68	70	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.29	28	-10	38	11.6	13.8	-2.23	16.9	14.5	2.43
Steve Nash	54	56	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.26	26	-8	34	11.4	13.4	-1.99	17.0	15.2	1.84
Quentin Richardson	70	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	1	16	12.8	11.2	1.67	16.0	16.6	-0.65
Walter McCarty	22	23	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	20	-22	12.6	12.2	0.35	15.5	16.4	-0.88
Jake Voskuhl	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	26	-34	14.5	11.6	2.81	15.5	16.4	-0.86
Bo Outlaw	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	15.0	11.9	3.11	14.2	16.5	-2.26
Paul Shirley	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	16.4	12.0	4.42	15.6	16.2	-0.67
Leandro Barbosa	47	45	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.23	-8	26	-34	13.4	11.4	1.99	15.2	17.0	-1.84
Jim Jackson	45	46	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	24	-30	12.4	12.3	0.11	16.0	16.4	-0.40
Steven Hunter	14	12	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.09	-9	27	-36	14.3	12.0	2.29	12.7	16.7	-4.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 86, SAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
BOS 111, CHH 136	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.8,0.74,0.8,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
ATL 75, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%