NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	75		Excitement	3.4 [1128]		MVP	Trenton Hassell (MIN): +9.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Comeback	1.1 [1105]		LVP	Jason Terry (ATL): -16.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Henderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Hansen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	9	50%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	75%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	11	54%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	15	41%	-0.10	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.21	-0.01	-0.06	18	24%	-0.11	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	14	50%	0.05	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ndudi Ebi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	48%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	13	25%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.16	-0.00	-0.07	21	38%	-0.02	4	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.0	27.1	14.5	27.2	1.6	28.3	124.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +21.9%

MIN +3.9%

MIN +18.5%

MIN +4.3%

MIN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	NBA	ATL	MIN	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.7	83.3	103.3	100.5
season	15.3	15.6		98.2	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.5		98.4	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.3	17.9	16.4	16.4	16.5
MIN	17.4	14.0	12.4	18.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	32	31	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.11	8	-26	34	15.2	17.2	-2.02	14.3	16.1	-1.86
Alan Henderson	28	27	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-22	26	16.6	16.5	0.12	16.3	15.1	1.22
Chris Crawford	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	16.3	16.5	-0.20	9.7	15.7	-6.01
Travis Hansen	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	16.3	16.5	-0.20	9.7	15.7	-6.01
Dan Dickau	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	16.3	16.5	-0.20	9.7	15.7	-6.01
Jacque Vaughn	23	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-15	12	17.8	16.1	1.69	17.0	15.0	1.92
Boris Diaw	53	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	-10	2	16.8	16.1	0.66	15.3	15.7	-0.45
Stephen Jackson	62	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.04	-12	-6	-6	15.4	19.0	-3.54	16.3	13.7	2.56
Jason Terry	67	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-7	-4	16.1	17.7	-1.58	15.2	16.3	-1.05
Dion Glover	59	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	-2	-14	17.4	14.8	2.62	15.2	16.1	-0.93
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	65	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	0.08	-22	4	-26	16.6	16.4	0.11	16.0	14.0	2.02
Theo Ratliff	52	53	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.11	-24	6	-30	17.2	15.5	1.72	15.4	15.6	-0.15

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	64	66	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.20	28	-10	38	16.6	12.7	3.97	16.6	16.2	0.37
Ervin Johnson	42	41	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.08	20	-2	22	14.2	16.6	-2.32	17.0	16.2	0.79
Latrell Sprewell	78	77	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	0	18	15.6	14.7	0.94	16.6	15.8	0.79
Kevin Garnett	61	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	7	4	14.8	16.9	-2.14	17.4	14.5	2.86
Trenton Hassell	59	58	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.14	14	4	10	15.4	15.6	-0.16	16.6	16.4	0.23
Fred Hoiberg	44	45	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	14	-10	15.0	15.9	-0.89	16.2	16.8	-0.60
Gary Trent	38	35	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	13	-8	18.2	13.5	4.68	14.8	17.6	-2.77
Mark Madsen	22	21	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.11	6	12	-6	16.1	15.3	0.81	18.0	16.1	1.99
Ndudi Ebi	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	9.7	15.7	-6.01	16.3	16.5	-0.20
Oliver Miller	14	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.15	-8	26	-34	15.1	15.5	-0.40	13.9	17.1	-3.18
Keith McLeod	25	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.16	-10	28	-38	13.1	16.4	-3.32	16.2	16.6	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 84, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
NOH 75, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
CLE 96, SAC 123	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%