NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	111		Excitement	3.8 [1027]		MVP	Ricky Pierce (CHH): +16.5%
Charlotte Hornets	136		Comeback	1.1 [986]		LVP	Anthony Mason (CHH): -11.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Day	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	19	55%	0.05	2	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Brett Szabo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	6	29%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Hamer	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Nate Driggers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	10	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	31	51%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Alton Lister	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	4	30%	-0.05	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Hawkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	10	50%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marty Conlon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	56%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
David Wesley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	16	50%	-0.01	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Pierce	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	9	92%	0.16	2	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.20	0.03	0.11	14	85%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	72%	0.09	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	0.00	0.09	17	74%	0.04	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	1	100%	0.03	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	69%	0.05	4	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Rafael Addison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	100%	0.00	3	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	10	36%	-0.03	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.5	24.6	15.4	28.4	1.6	27.3	125.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +54.4%

CHH +6.9%

BOS -5.4%

BOS -6.8%

CHH +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHH	NBA	BOS	CHH	NBA
this game	14.6	12.5	15.6	104.7	127.1	104.4
season	14.8	15.7		101.8	108.0
opponent	16.0	14.7		106.5	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.0	15.7	15.0	14.6	14.6
CHH	12.2	12.0	14.4	11.6	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Hawkins	53	55	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.12	7	-32	39	14.1	15.0	-0.87	12.8	12.1	0.68
Steve Hamer	29	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-24	23	13.9	14.8	-0.97	14.5	11.8	2.67
Nate Driggers	51	52	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.14	-8	-17	9	15.2	14.0	1.25	12.7	12.3	0.48
Brett Szabo	41	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.16	-10	-15	5	15.6	13.9	1.62	13.3	12.0	1.35
Alton Lister	27	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.23	-19	-6	-13	17.0	13.7	3.27	11.7	12.8	-1.14
Todd Day	86	86	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-12	-1	14.0	16.9	-2.94	12.3	13.2	-0.94
Antoine Walker	99	99	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.44	-32	7	-39	15.0	8.3	6.72	12.6	11.2	1.34
Marty Conlon	72	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.17	-24	-1	-23	13.9	16.0	-2.15	11.9	13.6	-1.70
David Wesley	72	72	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.15	-25	0	-25	14.0	15.8	-1.85	11.8	13.9	-2.08

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	69	67	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.36	33	-8	41	13.0	11.6	1.41	15.1	13.7	1.34
Muggsy Bogues	61	61	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.24	25	0	25	13.5	11.1	2.42	14.8	14.2	0.56
Ricky Pierce	67	66	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.42	31	-6	37	13.1	11.5	1.57	16.1	12.1	3.96
Anthony Mason	76	77	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.39	26	-1	27	13.3	10.5	2.82	15.8	11.2	4.67
Vlade Divac	45	46	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.29	20	5	15	14.2	11.2	3.00	15.3	14.0	1.23
Malik Rose	54	52	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	24	-23	11.0	14.0	-3.07	12.9	16.1	-3.19
Matt Geiger	41	40	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.19	-4	29	-33	11.4	13.2	-1.74	13.4	15.3	-1.91
Donald Royal	45	45	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	26	-27	10.8	13.7	-2.99	13.4	15.4	-2.03
Tony Delk	57	57	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	24	-23	11.7	13.3	-1.60	14.1	15.1	-1.00
Rafael Addison	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	32	-39	10.9	12.8	-1.89	11.1	15.3	-4.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.8,0.74,0.8,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 87, CHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
SAC 98, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
HOU 73, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%