NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	119		Excitement	11.0 [35]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +32.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	126		Comeback	4.0 [417]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (MIA): -48.0%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.33	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.33	0.10	0.30	0.07	33	61%	0.41	3	-0.09	13	77%	-0.00
Damon Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.05	-0.02	15	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	10	81%	0.17	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Steven Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	13	44%	-0.01	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	3	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.48	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	9	45%	-0.19	9	-0.29	11	27%	-0.20

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.03	0.20	-0.02	10	73%	0.37	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.09
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.09	0.03	24	62%	0.23	2	-0.08	13	100%	0.13
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	16	61%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.01	16	59%	0.11	1	-0.02	12	100%	0.07
Aaron McKie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	9	44%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.18,-0.29,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	16	44%	0.08	4	-0.21	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.3	3.5	37.4	19.7	30.0	2.8	33.0	2.4	21.4	174.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +2.2%

PHI +45.9%

MIA -10.9%

PHI +14.6%

MIA -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	15.3	13.4	15.5	107.2	113.5	104.0
season	15.7	13.9		107.9	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIA	17.0	13.0	16.1	16.9	12.5	15.3
PHI	15.8	13.6	12.0	13.8	10.6	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Mourning	26	27	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.12	5	-12	17	16.8	14.8	1.96	13.2	13.4	-0.21
Steven Smith	4	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-5	3	5.2	15.6	-10.39	2.6	13.9	-11.29
Damon Jones	85	86	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.40	9	-16	25	14.7	17.3	-2.61	13.4	13.2	0.18
Christian Laettner	22	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	15.4	15.2	0.12	13.4	13.4	0.04
Michael Doleac	9	8	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	4	-15	17.8	15.0	2.73	14.5	13.3	1.21
Udonis Haslem	84	83	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-8	9	15.8	13.5	2.31	14.0	11.6	2.37
Dwyane Wade	101	102	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-7	7	15.2	15.8	-0.58	13.3	14.2	-0.92
Eddie Jones	90	88	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	2	-11	15.2	15.6	-0.37	13.2	14.0	-0.78
Shaquille O'Neal	76	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-6	5	14.5	17.0	-2.57	13.3	13.5	-0.20
Keyon Dooling	26	25	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	9	-25	17.3	14.7	2.61	13.2	13.4	-0.18
Shandon Anderson	32	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	0	-7	15.3	15.2	0.10	14.2	13.1	1.10

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Jackson	74	73	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-7	21	12.8	14.5	-1.66	15.3	15.2	0.17
Chris Webber	74	76	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	-1	9	14.0	12.2	1.78	15.7	14.3	1.35
Allen Iverson	111	111	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	13.4	0.0	13.38	15.3	0.0	15.27
Aaron McKie	31	30	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	-12	31	11.6	14.1	-2.49	15.1	15.3	-0.23
Kyle Korver	102	101	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	6	-5	13.5	12.1	1.38	15.2	16.2	-1.02
Andre Iguodala	95	96	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.34	-2	9	-11	13.3	13.7	-0.43	14.9	17.6	-2.69
Samuel Dalembert	52	53	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	9	-11	14.2	12.7	1.46	16.4	14.2	2.15
Rodney Rogers	16	15	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.00	-10	17	-27	13.8	13.3	0.51	12.1	15.8	-3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.28,0.33,0.4,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.93,0.85,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 99, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.32,0.47,0.55,0.72,0.55,0.45,0.22,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.89,0.85,1	89.1%
HOU 95, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.52,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.73,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.91,1	89.0%
ATL 86, BOS 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.7,0.73,0.59,0.4,0.53,0.75,0.55,0.45,0.73,0.54,0.61,0.77,0.67,0.85,1	88.5%