NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	95		Excitement	11.1 [24]		MVP	Tom Hammonds (MIN): +12.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Comeback	2.4 [520]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -30.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	79%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	10	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Brent Price	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Elie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.02	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.11,-0.19,-0.23,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	0.01	-0.01	19	45%	0.19	6	-0.33	6	67%	-0.03
Clyde Drexler	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.25,-0.25,-0.21	-0.14	-0.06	0.01	19	26%	-0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26	-0.06	-0.22	-0.02	12	42%	-0.21	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.02	0.15	0.00	7	56%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.04	0.00	11	46%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.10
Reggie Jordan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	4	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	9	37%	-0.10	1	-0.03	6	17%	-0.11
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.11,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.01	-0.17	0.01	24	51%	-0.01	3	-0.17	1	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.09,-0.34,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3	-0.30	-0.11	-0.22	-0.02	28	46%	-0.21	5	-0.10	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	27.9	16.8	22.9	2.8	37.5	2.6	17.0	154.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -21.8%

MIN +9.0%

MIN +51.8%

MIN +12.1%

HOU -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.6	93.1	96.2	102.5
season	15.7	14.8		104.5	105.3
opponent	15.7	15.2		104.9	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	16.0	14.4	15.7	15.8	16.4	15.5
MIN	15.3	13.8	16.3	16.9	13.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Price	21	21	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-8	11	14.3	15.9	-1.52	14.3	15.6	-1.26
Kevin Willis	60	62	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-5	5	15.9	15.0	0.96	15.6	14.9	0.72
Eddie Johnson	35	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-5	5	15.4	15.6	-0.21	16.0	15.0	1.04
Matt Maloney	71	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-2	-1	15.8	15.0	0.77	15.9	14.1	1.77
Mario Elie	30	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	15.6	15.5	0.09	15.4	15.3	0.06
Hakeem Olajuwon	64	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-5	5	15.1	16.2	-1.07	15.7	14.7	0.95
Clyde Drexler	72	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-3	1	15.5	15.6	-0.09	15.3	15.4	-0.06
Matt Bullard	67	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	0	-5	15.6	15.4	0.21	15.0	16.0	-1.04
Charles Barkley	80	81	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.37	-10	5	-15	15.6	15.5	0.11	14.8	17.1	-2.30

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Hammonds	82	82	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-6	17	15.1	16.2	-1.07	15.7	14.7	1.04
Kevin Garnett	93	91	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-2	9	15.1	17.5	-2.37	15.3	17.5	-2.15
Cherokee Parks	43	43	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	0	5	16.7	14.4	2.32	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	94	91	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	1	3	15.4	14.7	0.70	15.6	15.4	0.20
Terry Porter	91	89	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.31	3	2	1	15.2	16.2	-1.02	15.8	13.7	2.12
Stanley Roberts	75	73	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.23	-1	6	-7	15.2	15.7	-0.49	15.7	15.1	0.61
Reggie Jordan	3	3	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.03	1	4	-3	19.0	15.2	3.77	15.7	15.5	0.13
Sam Mitchell	39	38	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.19	-5	10	-15	15.0	15.5	-0.50	14.6	16.1	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.52,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.73,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 76, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.66,0.83,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.97,1,1	91.1%
ATL 86, BOS 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.7,0.73,0.59,0.4,0.53,0.75,0.55,0.45,0.73,0.54,0.61,0.77,0.67,0.85,1	90.4%
SAS 82, ATL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.57,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.69,0.85,1	90.4%