NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	99		Excitement	10.1 [35]		MVP	Tyrone Corbin (ATL): +43.6%
Atlanta Hawks	103		Comeback	191.3 [3]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -17.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.06	0.09	0.02	10	64%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Harvey Grant	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	9	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	6	43%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Doug Overton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	58%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.05	-0.01	11	29%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Tyrone Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	13	52%	-0.00	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.06
Allen Iverson	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	17	51%	0.02	4	-0.19	13	85%	0.08

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.01	0.42	0.00	11	54%	0.46	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	4	61%	0.04	2	-0.03	10	50%	-0.08
Mark West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	14	46%	0.10	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.10	0.01	16	56%	-0.05	2	-0.06	9	100%	0.09
Steven Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.12,-0.17,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	23	49%	-0.04	3	-0.07	13	92%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.6	1.6	26.9	15.7	27.5	2.4	37.5	0.8	23.1	162.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	1.7	18.8	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +7.9%

ATL +6.9%

ATL +32.7%

PHI -4.0%

ATL +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.1	16.1	15.8	98.0	100.0	99.6
season	15.6	16.7		97.0	97.2
opponent	16.3	15.9		94.9	94.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	15.4	14.4	15.3	15.4	14.6	15.1
ATL	14.6	17.5	18.1	18.1	9.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Geiger	49	48	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.04	6	-10	16	15.2	14.9	0.28	15.7	16.5	-0.79
Allen Iverson	91	93	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.06	6	-10	16	14.9	16.7	-1.80	16.3	13.8	2.53
Doug Overton	5	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.06	-3	-1	-2	16.6	15.0	1.60	12.7	16.3	-3.62
Larry Hughes	41	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	5	-14	15.0	15.1	-0.13	13.6	17.8	-4.22
George Lynch	67	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.47	5	-9	14	14.0	17.1	-3.07	16.7	14.9	1.78
Theo Ratliff	51	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	8	-20	15.6	14.5	1.07	17.4	14.7	2.70
Tyrone Hill	89	90	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-3	2	15.4	12.7	2.74	16.7	12.1	4.59
Aaron McKie	68	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.48	-1	-3	2	14.8	15.7	-0.92	16.5	15.3	1.26
Harvey Grant	44	45	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.47	-11	7	-18	16.0	14.4	1.55	14.6	17.2	-2.56

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	89	87	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.33	14	-10	24	15.9	17.3	-1.39	15.2	14.1	1.09
Chris Crawford	43	42	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-7	18	16.1	16.1	0.05	15.3	14.9	0.31
Alan Henderson	87	86	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.29	10	-6	16	16.0	16.3	-0.27	15.2	14.7	0.48
Mookie Blaylock	82	81	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.42	4	0	4	16.7	13.9	2.80	15.0	15.6	-0.65
Tyrone Corbin	59	59	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.47	2	2	0	15.6	16.7	-1.16	14.8	15.5	-0.72
Dikembe Mutombo	92	89	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	-7	18	16.0	16.8	-0.82	15.6	11.3	4.25
Anthony Johnson	21	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	4	-4	13.9	16.7	-2.80	15.6	15.0	0.65
Mark West	9	9	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.06	-10	14	-24	20.3	15.7	4.65	13.9	15.2	-1.31
Roshown McLeod	7	7	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.06	-10	14	-24	19.9	15.8	4.04	12.3	15.3	-3.00
Grant Long	26	25	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.11	-12	16	-28	15.8	16.2	-0.43	14.1	15.4	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.32,0.47,0.55,0.72,0.55,0.45,0.22,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.89,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 119, PHI 126	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.28,0.33,0.4,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.93,0.85,0.83,1	89.1%
MIA 98, ORL 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.47,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.95,1	88.4%
DAL 102, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.41,0.2,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.46,0.68,0.84,0.84,0.98,1	88.3%