NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	95		Excitement	7.4 [374]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DAL): +26.4%
Seattle SuperSonics	90		Comeback	1.4 [467]		LVP	Ray Allen (SEA): -19.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.09	0.15	-0.02	8	74%	0.26	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Dirk Nowitzki	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17	0.12	0.07	0.02	16	74%	0.26	2	-0.08	10	90%	0.09
Jason Terry	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11	-0.04	0.16	0.00	14	50%	0.17	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.10
Alan Henderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	8	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Devin Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marquis Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	77%	0.05	3	-0.11	3	0%	-0.06
Josh Howard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.14	-0.00	6	83%	0.26	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	13	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,0.06,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	13	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.07
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	62%	0.00	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	9	28%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.15	-0.01	20	43%	-0.11	1	-0.08	4	75%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.8	30.1	15.7	33.1	2.6	38.2	149.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +61.8%

SEA -1.9%

SEA -24.8%

DAL +9.7%

DAL +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SEA	NBA	DAL	SEA	NBA
this game	16.2	17.3	15.5	111.8	103.4	104.0
season	14.9	16.5		108.2	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.5		107.9	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.3	19.2	14.2	17.2	16.2
SEA	16.3	16.0	21.1	16.3	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	63	66	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-6	17	15.9	16.9	-0.94	17.2	17.7	-0.53
Josh Howard	52	54	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-8	21	14.7	18.4	-3.69	16.6	18.5	-1.84
Jason Terry	65	65	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.42	4	1	3	15.9	16.9	-0.96	17.8	15.8	2.00
Erick Dampier	59	61	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	-5	15	16.4	15.7	0.74	18.7	14.1	4.61
Jerry Stackhouse	46	45	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.29	3	2	1	16.5	15.8	0.68	17.3	17.3	0.05
Keith Van Horn	44	44	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.35	-4	9	-13	17.0	15.2	1.83	16.3	18.3	-2.05
Michael Finley	42	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	1	3	15.0	17.3	-2.30	18.3	16.4	1.92
Shawn Bradley	1	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	5	-5	1.0	16.3	-15.35	1.0	17.5	-16.50
Devin Harris	24	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.07	1	4	-3	17.2	15.8	1.40	17.4	17.3	0.13
Alan Henderson	17	17	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.07	-8	13	-21	17.1	15.9	1.19	16.6	17.5	-0.90
Marquis Daniels	12	14	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	14	-23	21.3	15.3	6.02	14.3	17.9	-3.60

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	6	5	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.01	5	-10	15	13.3	17.6	-4.27	18.2	16.0	2.16
Luke Ridnour	56	55	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.08	7	-12	19	17.4	17.1	0.33	16.5	15.5	1.03
Ronald Murray	15	15	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-7	9	17.0	17.4	-0.38	19.6	15.4	4.17
Reggie Evans	44	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	0	-5	18.8	15.8	2.96	15.6	16.8	-1.23
Jerome James	36	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-8	11	17.9	16.9	0.99	14.8	17.2	-2.45
Danny Fortson	26	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-5	5	18.1	17.0	1.15	19.0	15.0	3.96
Ray Allen	71	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-5	5	16.9	19.2	-2.30	15.7	18.4	-2.72
Damien Wilkins	36	34	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-1	-3	15.8	18.4	-2.61	16.5	16.0	0.51
Antonio Daniels	46	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	0	-5	16.4	18.3	-1.90	15.9	16.5	-0.60
Nick Collison	34	33	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.08	-15	10	-25	18.0	16.9	1.08	15.5	16.6	-1.11
Rashard Lewis	65	63	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.31	-13	8	-21	17.6	16.4	1.21	15.9	16.8	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.23,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 99, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.08,0	92.7%
SEA 92, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.24,0.1,0	91.8%
DAL 94, WAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.16,0.01,0	91.2%