inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 99 Excitement7.3 [362] MVPMichael Redd (MIL): +29.2%
Milwaukee Bucks 94 Comeback1.4 [460] LVPDamon Jones (MIL): -11.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.11,0.07,0.140.080.070.011467%0.171-0.0311100%0.06
Corliss Williamson0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.10.040.05-0.00868%0.141-0.053100%0.02
Richard Hamilton0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.050.000.04-0.011955%0.153-0.102100%0.02
Chucky Atkins0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.020.00462%0.081-0.0500%0.00
Zeljko Rebraca0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00375%0.042-0.062100%0.01
Darvin Ham-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Mehmet Okur-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.00580%0.125-0.1500%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.03-0.031148%-0.021-0.02560%0.01
Bob Sura-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.01933%-0.061-0.0300%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.290.290.110.17-0.012458%0.2900.004100%0.04
Tim Thomas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.090.090.080.020.021859%0.111-0.0310%-0.02
Daniel Santiago0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Desmond Mason0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01-0.010.03-0.030.00669%0.051-0.05450%-0.03
T.J. Ford0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.00591%0.115-0.151100%0.01
Joe Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.01744%-0.001-0.04250%-0.01
Brian Skinner0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.06-0.01729%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.04-0.0158%-0.1100.00250%-0.01
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.05-0.011035%-0.022-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.91.628.514.823.42.434.5128.3
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +14.6%
DET +16.0%
DET +39.5%
MIL -21.0%
DET +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMILNBADETMILNBA
this game15.716.315.7110.0104.4100.5
season16.215.399.2103.6
opponent15.516.0103.392.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.315.315.816.415.7
MIL16.016.717.714.916.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tayshaun Prince61620.88-0.381.250.3518-133115.915.30.5616.515.80.66
Chauncey Billups69690.58-0.080.670.387-2916.214.02.2516.416.00.36
Ben Wallace74750.57-0.070.640.377-2916.014.41.6416.415.80.57
Richard Hamilton71720.390.110.280.3323-115.815.60.1816.216.6-0.42
Zeljko Rebraca440.160.34-0.17-0.016-1718.715.63.1722.216.06.25
Corliss Williamson44420.150.35-0.190.33-611-1716.215.30.8516.016.5-0.57
Bob Sura15150.040.46-0.430.0114-312.916.3-3.4314.916.5-1.61
Elden Campbell20210.030.47-0.45-0.0323-115.415.8-0.4116.216.3-0.11
Chucky Atkins2827-0.060.56-0.620.00-27-914.316.4-2.0915.816.5-0.66
Mehmet Okur4646-0.080.58-0.660.04-49-1316.015.50.4816.516.10.41
Darvin Ham1817-0.160.66-0.820.01-611-1714.416.1-1.6715.916.4-0.41

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Daniel Santiago21210.10-0.600.71-0.045-101515.416.6-1.1716.215.60.67
T.J. Ford38380.08-0.580.660.022-7917.515.42.1215.615.8-0.25
Joe Smith5757-0.10-0.400.31-0.100-5517.015.11.8716.214.91.28
Toni Kukoc2627-0.16-0.340.19-0.10-2-3115.816.5-0.6615.715.70.03
Tim Thomas6970-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.27-3-2-116.615.21.4215.317.3-2.09
Michael Redd7473-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.32-50-516.017.7-1.7115.317.7-2.45
Desmond Mason4949-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.35-4-1-315.417.3-1.8216.215.11.06
Brian Skinner6463-0.570.07-0.64-0.25-116-1716.815.01.7415.815.60.24
Damon Jones5252-0.580.08-0.66-0.38-72-915.417.5-2.1215.815.60.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 92, CHI 830.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.24,0.1,093.7%
MIA 102, NJN 920.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.06,0.05,093.0%
DAL 95, SEA 900.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.23,0.28,092.7%