inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 80 Excitement4.9 [869] MVPMike James (HOU): +4.1%
Houston Rockets 99 Comeback1.4 [998] LVPLeBron James (CLE): -17.0%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0.040,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00873%0.082-0.046100%0.02
Sasha Pavlovic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.01658%0.001-0.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jiri Welsch0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.020.002049%0.021-0.0310%-0.02
Eric Snow-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01650%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Robert Traylor-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00450%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Ira Newble-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0130%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Anderson Varejao-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.00312%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Jeff McInnis-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.020.00623%-0.0800.001100%0.01
Lucious Harris-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.030.00425%-0.042-0.0600%0.00
LeBron James-0.170,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.14-0.03-0.012237%-0.112-0.06757%-0.03

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.100.010.06794%0.072-0.032100%0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.01375%0.0300.002100%0.01
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.070.000.042120%0.0200.001100%0.01
Vin Baker00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Torraye Braggs0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.010.042161%0.053-0.069100%0.06
David Wesley0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.01-0.041342%0.043-0.0700%0.00
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02530%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Bob Sura0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02667%0.065-0.10683%0.01
Yao Ming0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00952%-0.002-0.05771%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.020.0020%-0.0800.0020%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.71.828.615.025.22.427.6127.3
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +31.1%
HOU +14.8%
HOU +15.1%
CLE -8.9%
CLE -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEHOUNBACLEHOUNBA
this game16.115.415.587.9107.6104.0
season16.216.0104.6104.2
opponent15.815.3100.6103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE15.417.415.715.916.1
HOU15.314.714.916.915.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ira Newble42420.05-0.550.60-0.043-222515.116.9-1.7315.715.20.53
DeSagana Diop440.00-0.500.50-0.062-212311.716.3-4.5315.715.40.36
Jiri Welsch440.00-0.500.50-0.062-212311.716.3-4.5315.715.40.36
Sasha Pavlovic1920-0.10-0.400.31-0.01-3-161315.416.2-0.8318.114.63.51
Zydrunas Ilgauskas5557-0.14-0.360.220.15-10-9-115.117.6-2.4515.715.00.70
Eric Snow4950-0.15-0.350.20-0.01-5-14914.617.8-3.2616.014.61.40
Drew Gooden6667-0.21-0.290.080.17-13-6-714.919.1-4.1415.415.30.11
Robert Traylor2626-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.08-7-12517.815.42.4215.215.5-0.29
Jeff McInnis4242-0.35-0.15-0.200.06-14-5-917.814.63.2614.616.0-1.40
Anderson Varejao3130-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.07-10-9-119.314.44.9215.015.6-0.65
LeBron James8081-0.40-0.10-0.310.10-17-2-1516.016.8-0.8415.315.9-0.58
Lucious Harris3737-0.550.05-0.590.13-234-2718.214.63.5113.716.5-2.84

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Scott Padgett56540.60-0.100.70-0.0723-42715.515.30.2016.715.11.63
Jon Barry46450.55-0.050.60-0.1624-52915.115.7-0.5917.314.82.49
Tracy McGrady70710.52-0.020.54-0.1021-22314.917.1-2.2215.817.0-1.18
Dikembe Mutombo42410.470.030.44-0.031721515.615.30.3117.315.12.17
Mike James40390.380.120.26-0.181901916.414.71.7217.714.92.78
Bob Sura57570.120.38-0.260.09118-1714.716.5-1.8414.918.1-3.21
Yao Ming47470.030.47-0.44-0.03217-1515.415.40.0015.416.8-1.48
Vin Baker330.000.50-0.500.00019-1913.015.5-2.4811.016.2-5.25
Torraye Braggs440.000.50-0.500.06-221-2315.715.40.3611.716.3-4.53
Ryan Bowen54-0.030.53-0.560.08-423-2712.615.6-2.9611.716.3-4.53
David Wesley5857-0.040.54-0.570.08-423-2716.513.53.0615.816.5-0.68
Clar. Weatherspoon3233-0.100.60-0.70-0.04-221-2315.215.5-0.2815.516.4-0.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 81, HOU 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,194.8%
ATL 97, GSW 1110.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%
SAS 81, PHX 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%