inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 76 Excitement4.1 [1019] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +11.4%
San Antonio Spurs 93 Comeback1.5 [980] LVPKeith Bogans (CHA): -24.4%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Primoz Brezec0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.010.02686%0.092-0.03989%0.02
Melvin Ely0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.00-0.00-0.04856%0.041-0.002100%0.01
Jason Kapono0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.00856%0.0200.0000%0.00
Theron Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Alexander0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Matt Carroll-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.110.00-0.09829%-0.013-0.011100%0.00
Bernard Robinson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.0210%-0.052-0.0220%-0.03
Brevin Knight-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.02550%-0.023-0.06667%-0.01
Jason Hart-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.020.041145%-0.072-0.0300%0.00
Emeka Okafor-0.160,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.26-0.02-0.111325%-0.077-0.09250%-0.00
Keith Bogans-0.240,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.20-0.05-0.011021%-0.154-0.10475%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.04-0.021760%0.141-0.02633%-0.05
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01592%0.072-0.032100%0.01
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.001156%0.0300.00580%0.01
Tony Massenburg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00475%0.0210.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.120.00-0.11714%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Dion Glover0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03333%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.002045%-0.001-0.02250%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01550%0.012-0.042100%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.16-0.00-0.11836%-0.014-0.04633%-0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.17-0.01-0.0460%-0.092-0.0420%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.42.427.316.525.91.631.2133.5
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +40.2%
CHA -4.0%
SAS +0.1%
SAS +13.8%
CHA -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHASASNBACHASASNBA
this game14.216.015.579.297.9104.0
season15.516.399.0105.8
opponent15.615.198.4105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA14.717.013.811.714.2
SAS16.618.114.515.416.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brevin Knight45460.09-0.590.69-0.024-212513.914.4-0.5018.413.84.66
Cory Alexander1718-0.00-0.500.49-0.093-202313.214.4-1.1915.116.2-1.11
Theron Smith2627-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-181911.715.1-3.3315.416.3-0.89
Matt Carroll3231-0.03-0.470.45-0.030-171714.414.00.3713.917.0-3.08
Jason Kapono4241-0.19-0.310.12-0.07-4-13915.013.51.4617.015.21.78
Melvin Ely4745-0.21-0.290.070.11-11-6-513.414.9-1.5615.716.3-0.65
Bernard Robinson3736-0.30-0.20-0.090.20-170-1715.013.61.3716.315.80.43
Primoz Brezec6162-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.16-7-10314.813.11.7315.716.7-1.01
Emeka Okafor7271-0.42-0.08-0.340.11-181-1914.214.00.1516.514.71.74
Keith Bogans5252-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.01-15-2-1314.813.41.3816.715.11.63
Jason Hart4946-0.610.11-0.720.01-214-2513.814.6-0.7813.918.0-4.07

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devin Brown66680.57-0.070.65-0.0120-32314.020.6-6.6414.313.80.47
Tony Parker60610.51-0.010.51-0.0519-22116.515.21.2414.912.92.00
Tim Duncan59590.390.110.29-0.021431117.413.83.6014.214.10.17
Brent Barry51520.390.110.270.03125717.514.33.2415.212.92.30
Robert Horry41430.240.26-0.01-0.14134914.117.4-3.2812.815.2-2.39
Tony Massenburg20210.200.30-0.100.05512-715.416.2-0.7116.213.62.60
Nazr Mohammed37370.110.39-0.280.02314-1115.716.2-0.4614.613.90.71
Rasho Nesterovic33320.050.45-0.390.08-118-1916.515.70.8214.014.2-0.28
Bruce Bowen47470.020.48-0.46-0.04215-1317.514.53.0114.014.3-0.39
Dion Glover26250.020.48-0.460.02017-1715.516.2-0.7612.014.9-2.97
Beno Udrih3535-0.010.51-0.510.05-219-2115.216.5-1.2412.914.9-2.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 90, MEM 1040.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
SAS 73, MIN 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
SAS 108, POR 1210.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.3%