NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	80		Excitement	3.7 [1097]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +6.5%
New Jersey Nets	94		Comeback	1.1 [1133]		LVP	Raja Bell (UTA): -10.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	8	70%	0.06	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	9	58%	-0.01	1	0.02	8	62%	-0.03
Ben Handlogten	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	57%	-0.00	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	80%	0.05	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Randy Livingston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Curtis Borchardt	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	4	50%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	17	57%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	5	100%	0.04	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	12	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	62%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	79%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	2	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.3	27.5	15.4	26.2	2.4	28.3	125.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +18.7%

NJN +11.8%

NJN +9.0%

NJN +7.9%

NJN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NJN	NBA	UTA	NJN	NBA
this game	18.1	15.8	15.5	95.2	109.3	104.0
season	16.7	16.0		102.3	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.1		101.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.6	18.1	20.3	15.2	18.1
NJN	16.6	17.9	11.0	18.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Livingston	18	20	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-18	22	16.3	18.6	-2.27	15.6	15.8	-0.18
Howard Eisley	34	32	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.14	6	-20	26	16.1	19.5	-3.46	19.2	13.8	5.46
Kirk Snyder	40	43	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-17	20	16.4	19.7	-3.23	15.7	15.9	-0.14
Mehmet Okur	33	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-9	4	17.6	18.4	-0.80	14.7	16.4	-1.64
Matt Harpring	53	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-6	-2	17.2	19.8	-2.62	16.0	15.4	0.56
Andrei Kirilenko	58	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-5	-4	19.0	16.2	2.73	16.8	13.5	3.28
Gordan Giricek	28	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-12	10	16.7	18.8	-2.05	16.6	15.4	1.17
Raja Bell	23	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-4	-6	21.5	16.9	4.63	15.5	15.9	-0.43
Kris Humphries	27	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-7	0	20.0	17.2	2.72	16.0	15.7	0.26
Ben Handlogten	40	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-5	-4	17.0	19.1	-2.09	14.3	17.1	-2.82
Curtis Borchardt	34	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-5	-4	19.3	17.3	2.02	15.9	15.7	0.27
Keith McLeod	32	34	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.11	-24	10	-34	21.3	16.2	5.16	12.6	17.8	-5.20

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	56	55	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.10	22	-8	30	13.8	19.5	-5.70	19.2	16.0	3.18
Jason Kidd	56	54	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.13	23	-9	32	14.3	18.6	-4.26	20.5	13.9	6.61
Vince Carter	58	57	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	0	14	14.6	18.2	-3.59	18.4	17.6	0.78
Nenad Krstic	45	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	4	6	16.2	15.3	0.95	19.8	16.4	3.42
Travis Best	50	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	6	2	15.6	16.0	-0.41	16.9	19.8	-2.93
Jacque Vaughn	30	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	6	2	15.7	15.8	-0.14	20.6	16.7	3.86
Brian Scalabrine	31	30	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	11	-8	15.5	15.9	-0.38	17.2	18.6	-1.48
Zoran Planinic	36	36	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.17	-5	19	-24	18.5	13.8	4.71	15.9	19.8	-3.95
Rodney Buford	22	21	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	18	-22	18.2	15.0	3.21	15.2	19.1	-3.84
Jabari Smith	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	17.4	15.6	1.78	14.0	18.5	-4.49
Billy Thomas	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	17.7	15.6	2.02	15.2	18.3	-3.10
Clifford Robinson	33	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	16	-18	18.4	14.2	4.27	15.8	19.6	-3.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 92, ORL 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.8,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
SAS 92, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CHH 87, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.3%