NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	91		Excitement	4.9 [863]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +14.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Comeback	1.3 [1054]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): -13.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Luol Deng	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	5	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	63%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	2	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	6	46%	-0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	0.00	12	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.05
Kirk Hinrich	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	12	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.13,-0.15,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.02	0.06	16	58%	0.03	5	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.02	12	77%	0.20	4	-0.05	19	89%	0.04
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	5	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	15	45%	0.02	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	17	55%	0.04	3	-0.08	15	67%	-0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	41%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	11	27%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.3	32.4	14.8	26.8	1.8	30.0	135.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.8%

CLE +2.2%

CLE +11.8%

CLE +6.6%

CLE +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	13.7	16.1	15.5	94.8	103.1	104.0
season	15.1	16.2		100.1	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.4		103.9	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.7	14.0	14.3	12.9	13.7
CLE	16.3	14.8	14.5	19.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	22	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.16	4	-13	17	11.7	14.3	-2.61	18.5	15.4	3.11
Eddy Curry	49	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-9	9	15.0	12.4	2.53	17.0	15.2	1.83
Andres Nocioni	44	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.28	7	-16	23	12.3	15.0	-2.71	17.9	14.4	3.49
Othella Harrington	26	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-3	-3	14.4	13.5	0.94	15.3	16.4	-1.16
Ben Gordon	58	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-11	13	13.5	14.1	-0.52	15.6	16.9	-1.32
Antonio Davis	27	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-1	-7	13.4	13.9	-0.51	13.7	17.0	-3.26
Chris Duhon	37	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-1	-7	13.5	13.9	-0.41	15.6	16.4	-0.84
Luol Deng	61	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	0	-9	14.4	12.6	1.75	15.0	17.7	-2.74
Tyson Chandler	65	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	6	-21	13.9	13.4	0.47	15.8	16.8	-1.05
Kirk Hinrich	91	91	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	3	-15	13.9	11.2	2.68	16.5	9.3	7.21

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ira Newble	70	69	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.11	15	-6	21	16.0	16.2	-0.18	14.1	12.9	1.24
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	76	77	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.10	15	-6	21	15.2	19.3	-4.08	14.4	11.0	3.42
Jeff McInnis	91	89	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.23	10	-1	11	16.3	12.7	3.65	13.6	16.0	-2.44
LeBron James	89	88	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.25	7	2	5	16.5	12.0	4.46	13.7	14.6	-0.97
Robert Traylor	26	24	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	5	-1	18.3	15.3	3.03	12.7	14.1	-1.43
DeSagana Diop	18	17	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	2	5	16.5	16.0	0.50	13.6	13.8	-0.18
Lucious Harris	26	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	11	-13	15.6	16.3	-0.65	12.0	14.4	-2.39
Drew Gooden	62	62	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	11	-13	15.6	17.0	-1.37	14.0	13.3	0.74
Eric Snow	6	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	10	-11	12.7	16.3	-3.65	16.0	13.6	2.44
Sasha Pavlovic	21	21	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.11	-8	17	-25	16.9	15.9	0.98	13.2	13.9	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 69, PHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
LAC 92, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.63,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
IND 96, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%