NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	99		Excitement	3.5 [1121]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +17.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	112		Comeback	1.1 [1199]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -9.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Garrity	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	8	69%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	20	62%	0.08	7	-0.11	12	92%	0.02
Grant Hill	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	16	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	11	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tony Battie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.04	2	-0.02	10	70%	-0.02
Jameer Nelson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	11	40%	-0.05	3	-0.05	3	0%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.02	-0.07	36	61%	0.19	3	-0.01	27	89%	0.05
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	12	60%	0.06	4	-0.04	6	33%	-0.03
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	2	50%	0.01	5	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.17	-0.00	-0.08	7	0%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	31.6	15.6	30.1	1.0	32.3	136.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +32.3%

ORL -0.6%

PHI +6.2%

PHI +8.7%

PHI +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	12.5	13.4	15.5	89.2	100.9	104.0
season	14.3	13.9		102.9	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.0	12.6	12.1	12.6	12.5
PHI	14.2	12.3	11.5	16.2	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Garrity	49	48	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.36	12	-25	37	11.8	13.1	-1.39	13.9	13.1	0.81
Jameer Nelson	59	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.31	8	-21	29	11.8	13.4	-1.60	14.2	12.6	1.59
DeShawn Stevenson	39	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-19	25	11.7	13.0	-1.29	15.5	12.3	3.16
Tony Battie	28	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-4	-5	12.7	12.5	0.20	13.1	13.5	-0.40
Steve Francis	79	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-5	-3	12.7	12.0	0.75	13.5	13.2	0.37
Kelvin Cato	45	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.13	-15	2	-17	13.0	12.2	0.83	12.6	14.0	-1.38
Hedo Turkoglu	49	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-3	-7	12.9	12.2	0.69	12.4	14.2	-1.84
Doug Christie	44	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	1	-15	12.5	12.6	-0.05	12.8	13.9	-1.11
Grant Hill	63	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.17	-21	8	-29	13.2	11.6	1.56	12.6	14.5	-1.94
Dwight Howard	99	100	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	-1	-11	12.8	10.7	2.09	13.8	10.1	3.69

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	96	95	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.17	27	-14	41	13.6	12.5	1.02	12.8	11.1	1.72
Samuel Dalembert	63	62	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.17	21	-8	29	13.9	12.7	1.17	13.9	10.9	3.00
Kyle Korver	76	75	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.03	14	-1	15	12.4	15.6	-3.23	12.6	12.4	0.13
Corliss Williamson	98	98	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	4	5	13.3	13.9	-0.58	12.5	13.0	-0.53
Andre Iguodala	56	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	0	13	12.9	14.0	-1.09	12.9	12.2	0.73
Aaron McKie	52	51	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	8	-3	13.3	13.5	-0.13	12.5	12.6	-0.11
Marc Jackson	61	62	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.25	-4	17	-21	13.0	13.9	-0.92	11.3	14.1	-2.78
Willie Green	28	29	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.39	-19	32	-51	14.5	13.1	1.40	10.9	13.1	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 92, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
DET 75, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
DAL 65, UTA 80	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%