NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	75		Excitement	3.0 [1201]		MVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): +11.0%
Phoenix Suns	92		Comeback	1.2 [1104]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (DET): -10.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Daye	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
DaJuan Summers	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	9	28%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	1	25%	-0.00	1	-0.01	6	33%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.04	10	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	19	46%	-0.02	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	11	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	10	35%	-0.02	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	10	73%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.10	9	44%	0.05	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.05	6	80%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	17	56%	0.06	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	12	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gani Lawal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	5	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	24.6	16.4	25.5	2.4	30.2	128.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +38.2%

PHX +4.8%

PHX +7.7%

DET -2.2%

PHX +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHX	NBA	DET	PHX	NBA
this game	18.0	15.1	15.5	86.2	105.7	105.7
season	16.7	14.5		106.4	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.2		109.0	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.0	17.7	23.3	14.8	18.0
PHX	13.0	15.0	15.4	17.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DaJuan Summers	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-23	29	12.5	18.8	-6.22	19.3	14.5	4.88
Greg Monroe	24	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-13	9	15.4	19.0	-3.59	17.1	14.4	2.76
Will Bynum	28	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-16	15	14.9	19.4	-4.50	16.3	14.6	1.68
Austin Daye	38	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-11	5	15.7	19.8	-4.07	16.1	14.3	1.78
Ben Wallace	38	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.12	-1	-16	15	20.3	16.2	4.06	14.0	16.1	-2.09
Ben Gordon	75	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-15	13	17.8	18.9	-1.09	14.9	16.7	-1.83
Charlie Villanueva	45	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-13	9	19.7	16.2	3.50	14.3	16.0	-1.71
Chris Wilcox	25	24	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	-5	-7	17.0	18.4	-1.37	15.0	15.2	-0.17
Tayshaun Prince	50	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-8	-1	19.5	15.9	3.53	14.9	15.4	-0.49
Richard Hamilton	40	37	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.42	-30	13	-43	17.9	18.0	-0.14	14.5	15.6	-1.02
Tracy McGrady	61	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.11	-22	5	-27	19.5	14.3	5.23	14.6	16.4	-1.84

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	52	53	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.14	20	-3	23	15.6	14.4	1.22	16.7	20.0	-3.37
Jared Dudley	58	58	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.09	18	-1	19	15.5	14.3	1.22	16.9	20.2	-3.29
Vince Carter	69	69	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	3	11	15.1	15.4	-0.33	18.2	17.1	1.09
Marcin Gortat	54	55	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.03	14	3	11	15.1	15.1	0.01	17.8	18.3	-0.58
Channing Frye	52	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	5	7	15.7	14.3	1.31	16.2	20.8	-4.62
Grant Hill	42	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	14	-11	15.0	15.3	-0.29	19.2	16.8	2.40
Mickael Pietrus	47	47	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	15	-13	14.7	15.6	-0.88	19.0	16.8	2.23
Robin Lopez	22	22	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.09	7	10	-3	13.1	15.8	-2.66	21.5	16.8	4.65
Steve Nash	35	34	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.15	-3	20	-23	14.4	15.6	-1.22	20.0	16.7	3.37
Gani Lawal	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	20.7	14.9	5.89	11.0	18.2	-7.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 99, PHI 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.9%
NJN 71, HOU 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
VAN 80, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%