NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	115		Excitement	9.5 [97]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +38.7%
Sacramento Kings	113		Comeback	3.4 [285]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -20.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.39	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.39	0.05	0.33	-0.00	9	74%	0.43	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.09
Jerry Stackhouse	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	12	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	10	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.08,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.09	-0.03	20	59%	0.08	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.10
Josh Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	8	57%	0.01	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.1,-0.1	0.04	-0.14	0.00	15	58%	-0.08	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.07	0.02	14	61%	0.12	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.03
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	6	80%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.04	-0.06	10	41%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11	-0.11	0.05	-0.17	-0.01	14	61%	-0.01	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.02,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.14	-0.01	23	45%	-0.13	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.16
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.2	-0.20	0.03	-0.23	0.01	16	66%	-0.06	4	-0.14	6	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	3.8	30.6	17.6	27.2	2.8	38.0	148.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +4.0%

DAL +61.1%

SAC -10.0%

SAC -4.1%

SAC -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAC	NBA	DAL	SAC	NBA
this game	14.2	15.8	15.5	119.8	117.7	104.0
season	14.9	14.7		108.2	108.1
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.4	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.2	14.2	12.8	17.1	14.2
SAC	15.6	15.2	16.7	15.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	82	81	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.41	11	-9	20	13.7	17.5	-3.82	15.9	15.2	0.66
Michael Finley	84	85	0.52	-0.01	0.53	0.46	2	0	2	14.1	15.4	-1.35	16.3	11.5	4.76
Jason Terry	57	57	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.35	5	-3	8	15.3	12.6	2.69	16.4	14.8	1.63
Erick Dampier	55	56	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	-2	6	13.8	14.8	-0.94	16.1	15.3	0.83
Josh Howard	80	81	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.45	-5	7	-12	14.2	14.6	-0.46	15.9	15.3	0.59
Alan Henderson	26	28	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.19	-2	4	-6	17.4	13.1	4.31	15.1	16.0	-0.92
Darrell Armstrong	42	41	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	0	2	13.1	15.1	-2.03	14.7	16.5	-1.80
Jerry Stackhouse	39	36	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	2	-2	13.4	14.8	-1.40	15.0	16.2	-1.22
Shawn Bradley	4	3	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	3	-4	16.2	14.2	2.10	13.0	15.8	-2.85
Devin Harris	11	12	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	8	-14	15.7	14.0	1.68	13.8	16.0	-2.20

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	28	29	0.45	-0.95	1.40	0.13	11	-13	24	13.6	16.6	-2.99	16.1	13.4	2.67
Maurice Evans	39	39	0.39	-0.89	1.29	0.10	10	-12	22	14.0	17.0	-2.96	15.6	13.3	2.27
Eddie House	10	10	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-2	2	13.0	16.1	-3.08	14.7	14.2	0.51
Darius Songaila	32	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-3	4	14.4	16.5	-2.08	16.1	13.3	2.77
Brad Miller	74	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-3	4	16.4	13.6	2.76	14.2	14.5	-0.31
Mike Bibby	80	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.46	-2	0	-2	16.1	14.2	1.89	14.3	13.9	0.44
Chris Webber	76	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.43	-6	4	-10	16.1	14.5	1.59	13.5	17.2	-3.74
Cuttino Mobley	73	72	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.53	-12	10	-22	16.4	13.9	2.49	13.4	16.7	-3.24
Peja Stojakovic	68	67	-0.95	0.45	-1.40	-0.57	-13	11	-24	16.6	13.6	2.99	13.4	16.1	-2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.4,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.46,0.45,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 90, LAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.84,0	91.2%
CHH 95, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.64,0.46,0.45,0.58,0	90.5%
SAC 84, LAL 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.57,0.46,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.44,0.43,0.32,0.42,0	90.5%