inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 94 Excitement2.2 [1280] MVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): +5.4%
Washington Wizards 112 Comeback1.1 [1142] LVPMichael Redd (MIL): -10.0%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike James0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.080.000.031571%0.063-0.021100%0.00
Daniel Santiago0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zendon Hamilton-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.03262%-0.002-0.00475%-0.00
Erick Strickland-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Dan Gadzuric-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.0210%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Mo Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01450%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Desmond Mason-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.04954%0.014-0.04683%0.00
Joe Smith-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01743%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Toni Kukoc-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.00750%-0.002-0.04475%-0.00
Keith Van Horn-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.010.000.042117%0.024-0.072100%0.01
Michael Redd-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.10.00-0.000.101759%-0.053-0.051090%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.000.031769%0.103-0.051173%0.01
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.090.000.051272%0.041-0.00862%-0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.02776%0.041-0.003100%0.01
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.00-0.071352%0.053-0.02367%0.00
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.051036%0.0100.002100%-0.00
Michael Ruffin00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.00654%0.001-0.011100%-0.00
Laron Profit0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02540%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.00-0.06714%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02845%-0.012-0.03475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.429.615.630.22.523.5132.2
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +24.5%
WAS +4.6%
WAS +5.0%
WAS +16.4%
MIL -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILWASNBAMILWASNBA
this game16.014.015.597.9116.7104.0
season16.014.7104.4104.7
opponent15.515.0105.5107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL21.414.813.415.516.0
WAS12.313.412.817.914.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Daniel Santiago780.00-0.500.50-0.062-202213.016.2-3.2218.913.65.31
Zendon Hamilton2928-0.03-0.470.43-0.030-181815.116.4-1.2714.813.71.09
Dan Gadzuric3435-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-3-151215.916.0-0.1712.514.9-2.35
Toni Kukoc5958-0.12-0.380.26-0.244-222613.919.4-5.4715.112.32.80
Erick Strickland3938-0.16-0.340.170.01-6-12615.416.4-0.9816.212.63.55
Keith Van Horn3030-0.17-0.330.17-0.02-5-13815.916.0-0.0816.412.93.52
Mo Williams2932-0.22-0.280.060.19-14-4-1018.414.93.5212.914.5-1.61
Mike James7573-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.22-2-161414.820.3-5.5614.811.43.39
Desmond Mason5857-0.33-0.17-0.170.11-15-3-1216.415.40.9412.316.5-4.21
Michael Redd5959-0.35-0.15-0.190.01-12-6-616.215.60.5512.716.1-3.33
Zaza Pachulia2424-0.36-0.14-0.220.14-17-1-1618.515.23.3513.414.2-0.79
Joe Smith3738-0.38-0.12-0.260.27-224-2619.413.95.4712.315.1-2.80

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antawn Jamison73720.51-0.010.53-0.1623-52814.014.1-0.1016.713.73.04
Gilbert Arenas77770.480.020.46-0.0819-12013.914.6-0.7716.513.72.81
Jarvis Hayes66650.370.130.24-0.131711613.016.3-3.3816.514.81.70
Jared Jeffries68670.360.140.220.04117413.415.4-1.9516.414.91.52
Brendan Haywood36340.270.230.05-0.08126612.215.1-2.9517.515.22.29
Etan Thomas59600.220.28-0.070.04612-615.012.42.6615.317.1-1.79
Juan Dixon36380.150.35-0.210.00513-814.713.61.0914.417.0-2.55
Michael Ruffin13140.100.40-0.29-0.01414-1014.913.91.0614.616.2-1.58
Steve Blake35350.020.48-0.450.14-422-2616.012.93.0914.616.8-2.14
Laron Profit17180.010.49-0.480.10-321-2415.413.71.6313.316.6-3.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 87, CHI 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
TOR 89, WAS 1170.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
PHI 93, CLE 1110.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%