NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	2.0 [1237]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +6.8%
Chicago Bulls	106		Comeback	1.1 [801]		LVP	Rik Smits (IND): -6.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	57%	0.02	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Mark West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	7	33%	-0.00	2	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Mark Pope	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mullin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	6	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.05	10	61%	-0.01	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Travis Best	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	12	92%	-0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	7	48%	-0.06	2	0.00	11	73%	-0.02
Rik Smits	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	11	43%	-0.05	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.15	0.00	0.08	20	66%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.05	13	68%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	56%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	61%	0.01	3	-0.03	9	67%	-0.01
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	6	54%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.8	2.3	31.7	19.6	27.2	3.4	32.3	147.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +23.7%

CHI +11.6%

CHI +13.0%

CHI +4.0%

IND -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	16.5	15.9	15.6	97.8	119.1	102.5
season	16.0	16.2		105.3	105.8
opponent	15.8	16.1		97.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.9	16.2	17.1	13.5	16.5
CHI	14.5	15.1	14.2	19.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark West	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-28	37	10.8	17.1	-6.32	19.2	15.5	3.70
Mark Pope	16	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-23	27	13.2	17.2	-3.91	15.8	15.9	-0.08
Fred Hoiberg	30	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-17	15	14.8	17.3	-2.56	16.4	15.6	0.83
Travis Best	38	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-22	25	14.9	17.6	-2.73	18.8	13.7	5.11
Chris Mullin	39	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.31	-18	-1	-17	16.3	16.6	-0.32	14.8	16.7	-1.86
Rik Smits	57	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.17	-15	-4	-11	17.4	14.8	2.52	15.7	16.3	-0.59
Derrick McKey	38	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-8	-3	18.4	15.0	3.42	16.8	15.3	1.51
Antonio Davis	51	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.17	-16	-3	-13	16.6	16.3	0.30	15.9	15.9	0.01
Mark Jackson	51	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.33	-22	3	-25	17.6	14.9	2.73	13.7	18.8	-5.11
Dale Davis	57	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-9	-1	16.1	17.2	-1.13	15.7	16.2	-0.45
Reggie Miller	59	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	-2	-15	17.3	14.8	2.56	15.6	16.4	-0.83

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	65	65	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.59	37	-18	55	15.7	16.4	-0.71	18.0	12.4	5.59
Ron Harper	55	57	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	7	5	14.3	18.6	-4.30	17.0	15.6	1.40
Toni Kukoc	56	56	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.20	18	1	17	14.2	18.8	-4.59	16.8	15.8	0.97
Scottie Pippen	43	44	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.20	17	2	15	14.2	17.5	-3.36	17.5	15.5	2.01
Luc Longley	51	53	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.26	18	1	17	15.5	16.4	-0.82	17.4	15.1	2.31
Dennis Rodman	41	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.21	16	3	13	15.0	16.6	-1.58	17.0	16.0	0.93
Scott Burrell	29	28	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.38	-7	26	-33	17.2	15.3	1.89	14.2	17.5	-3.28
Steve Kerr	31	30	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	20	-21	20.2	13.6	6.54	15.3	17.1	-1.75
Bill Wennington	28	28	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	20	-21	17.1	15.3	1.76	15.1	17.1	-2.03
Dickey Simpkins	23	23	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	24	-29	19.5	14.7	4.83	14.3	17.2	-2.97
Randy Brown	10	9	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	23	-27	14.7	16.1	-1.35	12.9	16.9	-3.97
Jud Buechler	13	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.13	-5	24	-29	19.9	15.2	4.71	12.9	17.0	-4.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 94, WAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
HOU 100, ATL 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
PHX 88, OKC 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%