NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	85		Excitement	6.1 [637]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +21.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	96		Comeback	1.8 [907]		LVP	Bobby Simmons (LAC): -21.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	-0.01	26	54%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luis Flores	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	18	54%	0.04	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	5	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	4	45%	-0.03	3	-0.11	3	33%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.11	0.01	18	69%	0.26	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Rick Brunson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.01	11	77%	0.23	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.01	9	76%	0.09	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lionel Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	12	38%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	10	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.16	-0.04	0.02	15	31%	-0.16	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	27.2	16.4	24.1	2.5	26.8	121.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +13.4%

LAC +6.4%

LAC +30.1%

GSW -0.4%

LAC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	18.0	15.5	97.7	110.3	104.0
season	15.0	16.0		102.3	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.2		103.8	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.6	14.7	18.2	14.4	15.1
LAC	18.5	17.2	17.9	18.5	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Flores	4	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	9.2	15.4	-6.12	12.7	18.2	-5.54
Adonal Foyle	42	42	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-13	15	15.4	14.8	0.56	19.0	17.1	1.87
Clifford Robinson	10	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-4	-3	14.7	15.1	-0.44	16.7	18.2	-1.48
Mickael Pietrus	29	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-5	-1	14.5	15.4	-0.91	16.3	18.9	-2.56
Mike Dunleavy	74	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-10	9	14.8	16.7	-1.88	18.7	14.5	4.20
Derek Fisher	63	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-4	-3	15.4	14.2	1.28	17.5	19.3	-1.83
Eduardo Najera	68	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-8	5	15.0	15.4	-0.35	18.9	14.7	4.26
Jason Richardson	67	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-5	-1	15.7	12.9	2.85	18.6	16.0	2.57
Calbert Cheaney	33	34	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.05	-15	4	-19	15.2	15.0	0.24	16.8	18.8	-2.05
Dale Davis	45	45	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.11	-13	2	-15	14.8	15.4	-0.56	17.1	19.0	-1.87

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	69	69	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.17	14	-3	17	18.3	16.9	1.35	15.3	14.1	1.24
Rick Brunson	79	77	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.18	12	-1	13	18.0	17.9	0.15	15.2	14.2	1.01
Elton Brand	51	52	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-1	13	19.4	16.1	3.34	16.7	12.7	4.03
Bobby Simmons	77	75	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	3	5	18.2	16.8	1.37	15.4	13.4	1.94
Zeljko Rebraca	58	57	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	2	7	16.8	20.5	-3.76	14.6	15.9	-1.28
Mikki Moore	18	18	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.06	13	-2	15	16.2	18.5	-2.33	14.3	15.3	-0.96
Chris Kaman	37	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	9	-7	19.5	16.9	2.61	15.3	14.9	0.35
Quinton Ross	35	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	12	-13	17.4	18.4	-1.02	13.9	16.0	-2.07
Lionel Chalmers	3	2	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	14	-17	2.7	18.6	-15.89	11.0	15.2	-4.19
Chris Wilcox	8	8	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.10	-11	22	-33	19.9	17.8	2.05	9.2	15.7	-6.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.85,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 96, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
NYK 83, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.2%
MIN 86, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.93,0.97,1,0.98,1,1,1	93.0%