NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	88		Excitement	7.7 [331]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +25.1%
Golden State Warriors	85		Comeback	1.1 [629]		LVP	Derek Fisher (GSW): -25.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.25	0.08	0.12	-0.05	22	57%	0.26	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.21	0.09	0.12	0.00	18	63%	0.24	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	11	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Jerome James	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Ronald Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	4	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.11
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	9	27%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	7	22%	-0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.04	0.00	15	66%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	15	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	-0.01	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.05
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.10	-0.02	23	42%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25	-0.25	-0.16	-0.11	-0.01	11	22%	-0.17	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	28.3	16.4	23.5	2.6	32.6	130.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +45.8%

SEA +16.3%

SEA +3.6%

GSW -15.4%

GSW -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	GSW	NBA	SEA	GSW	NBA
this game	18.5	14.9	15.5	102.3	97.7	104.0
season	16.5	15.0		109.5	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.6		104.7	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	18.9	18.8	19.2	17.0	18.5
GSW	14.7	12.0	17.7	15.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	64	64	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.34	6	-3	9	19.0	16.8	2.27	14.5	15.7	-1.15
Ray Allen	66	67	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-7	17	18.5	18.3	0.22	15.0	14.5	0.46
Danny Fortson	35	35	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.48	0	3	-3	17.8	18.9	-1.17	14.3	15.2	-0.85
Ronald Murray	22	22	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	3	-3	17.0	19.0	-1.91	15.7	14.6	1.11
Jerome James	27	28	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.12	16	-13	29	19.8	17.9	1.91	15.7	14.4	1.27
Rashard Lewis	73	74	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.38	-2	5	-7	18.9	15.9	2.99	14.7	15.8	-1.17
Vladimir Radmanovic	40	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	6	-9	17.3	19.5	-2.23	15.1	14.6	0.50
Reggie Evans	46	46	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	-5	13	18.7	18.2	0.50	15.2	14.4	0.82
Antonio Daniels	32	34	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.10	-9	12	-21	17.9	18.8	-0.84	14.9	14.8	0.00
Nick Collison	25	26	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.04	-11	14	-25	18.5	18.5	0.02	13.8	15.3	-1.54

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	28	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-8	13	11.4	16.5	-5.10	18.8	18.3	0.55
Troy Murphy	58	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-2	1	16.0	12.5	3.50	18.5	18.5	-0.03
Eduardo Najera	47	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.32	7	-10	17	14.5	15.2	-0.69	17.8	19.3	-1.54
Mickael Pietrus	19	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-4	5	15.2	14.8	0.39	16.9	18.9	-2.04
Calbert Cheaney	51	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-8	13	13.8	16.4	-2.62	18.0	19.2	-1.21
Jason Richardson	72	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-5	7	15.0	14.1	0.87	19.4	14.2	5.26
Adonal Foyle	22	22	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.15	-17	14	-31	16.6	14.2	2.39	19.7	18.0	1.63
Mike Dunleavy	61	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.31	-8	5	-13	15.3	13.9	1.38	18.7	17.7	0.99
Derek Fisher	77	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.32	-9	6	-15	15.1	13.0	2.09	18.0	21.7	-3.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.19,0.17,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 79, DET 74	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.21,0.22,0.16,0	92.8%
MIA 95, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.07,0.09,0.26,0	92.7%
MEM 97, ATL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.54,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.16,0.1,0.16,0	92.1%