NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	79		Excitement	7.6 [323]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +8.4%
Detroit Pistons	74		Comeback	1.5 [553]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -30.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	17	47%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.02	10	58%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	21	42%	0.01	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	0.02	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	3	60%	0.01	2	-0.15	4	50%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.03	-0.06	14	43%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	0.00	9	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	71%	0.09	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	44%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.07
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.24	-0.24	-0.05	-0.19	-0.00	10	37%	-0.20	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.14	-0.15	0.01	10	14%	-0.22	1	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.13	-0.18	-0.00	27	35%	-0.25	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.7	32.0	16.7	23.4	3.5	41.3	142.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +47.7%

NJN +16.7%

DET -8.9%

DET -8.3%

NJN +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	17.0	16.5	15.6	92.9	85.1	104.4
season	15.7	16.9		102.1	108.3
opponent	15.8	15.7		101.4	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.9	19.2	17.9	16.1	17.0
DET	20.4	16.0	15.7	14.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	35	37	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-1	7	16.1	17.6	-1.47	15.9	17.0	-1.09
Antoine Wright	12	13	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	-3	11	15.9	17.2	-1.23	18.6	16.1	2.47
Jason Kidd	69	70	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	-1	7	16.8	17.6	-0.80	16.8	15.2	1.59
Richard Jefferson	68	70	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	-3	11	16.9	17.4	-0.47	16.6	16.0	0.64
Vince Carter	75	76	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.28	2	3	-1	17.2	15.2	2.01	16.2	18.4	-2.11
Nenad Krstic	71	72	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	-1	7	17.6	13.6	4.08	17.2	13.4	3.77
Jason Collins	58	58	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.23	-1	6	-7	16.7	17.5	-0.79	16.8	16.0	0.83
Jacque Vaughn	21	23	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	0	5	16.4	17.2	-0.73	14.7	17.2	-2.54
Lamond Murray	5	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.05	-5	10	-15	19.6	16.8	2.79	15.0	16.6	-1.61
Zoran Planinic	11	11	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.13	-10	15	-25	17.6	16.9	0.76	14.1	16.9	-2.78

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	11	11	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.09	8	-13	21	14.1	16.9	-2.78	18.8	16.7	2.12
Lindsey Hunter	23	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-6	7	16.6	16.5	0.07	17.9	16.6	1.28
Tony Delk	21	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-6	7	16.4	16.5	-0.12	18.3	16.5	1.80
Rasheed Wallace	64	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.34	4	-9	13	16.6	16.3	0.29	17.2	16.4	0.73
Antonio McDyess	46	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-4	3	16.8	16.1	0.70	17.5	16.3	1.18
Richard Hamilton	70	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	1	-7	16.5	16.8	-0.31	16.7	18.0	-1.26
Chauncey Billups	64	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	3	-11	16.5	16.6	-0.07	16.6	17.9	-1.28
Ben Wallace	64	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	6	-17	16.2	17.4	-1.19	16.4	18.5	-2.12
Tayshaun Prince	72	69	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.25	-13	8	-21	17.0	14.3	2.64	16.5	19.0	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.21,0.22,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 88, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.19,0.17,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.27,0	92.8%
LAL 121, MEM 119	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	92.4%
PHX 101, SEA 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.33,0.17,0.24,0.07,0.04,0,0.01,0,0	92.4%