NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	111		Excitement	10.1 [68]		MVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): +21.8%
Orlando Magic	115		Comeback	17.6 [101]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -34.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.08	0.01	13	86%	0.27	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.08	-0.00	12	67%	0.34	5	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Kedrick Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Willie Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.06
Corliss Williamson	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.3	-0.08	-0.22	0.00	10	32%	-0.28	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.22,-0.2,-0.35	-0.16	-0.17	0.01	29	52%	0.01	9	-0.36	15	100%	0.14

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	-0.00	10	90%	0.26	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	0.00	9	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	9	66%	0.07	1	-0.02	14	79%	0.02
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	79%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.02
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	14	61%	0.02	6	-0.15	8	50%	-0.08
Doug Christie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	9	32%	-0.11	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.26,-0.32,-0.29,-0.28,-0.26	-0.26	-0.16	-0.11	-0.02	14	39%	-0.17	4	-0.09	8	75%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.8	34.1	16.7	27.5	1.7	40.0	150.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -3.0%

ORL +1.8%

ORL +33.1%

ORL +22.4%

PHI -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	13.0	13.6	15.5	101.8	107.5	104.0
season	13.9	14.3		101.1	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.8		105.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.3	12.6	13.0	14.4	13.0
ORL	11.7	13.1	15.8	14.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	33	31	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.10	7	-11	18	14.3	12.5	1.79	15.6	12.8	2.77
Kenny Thomas	67	65	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.16	9	-13	22	12.3	14.2	-1.97	13.6	13.7	-0.15
Willie Green	6	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	3	-10	15.0	12.9	2.09	18.1	13.3	4.81
Samuel Dalembert	80	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.48	8	-12	20	13.2	12.5	0.70	13.8	13.2	0.55
Marc Jackson	26	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	8	-20	12.9	13.1	-0.14	13.2	13.8	-0.57
Kyle Korver	89	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	3	-10	13.1	12.7	0.34	13.3	15.3	-2.10
Allen Iverson	103	100	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.45	3	-7	10	12.9	15.0	-2.09	13.3	18.1	-4.81
Kedrick Brown	15	13	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	5	-14	12.3	13.1	-0.80	12.3	13.8	-1.52
Andre Iguodala	75	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.36	-2	-2	0	12.6	14.0	-1.41	13.3	14.5	-1.18
Corliss Williamson	51	51	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	6	-16	13.7	12.4	1.31	14.0	13.3	0.75

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	79	81	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.52	0	4	-4	13.1	15.2	-2.17	12.5	14.7	-2.22
Doug Christie	80	81	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	-4	12	12.9	15.7	-2.80	12.8	13.7	-0.88
Dwight Howard	70	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.46	-3	7	-10	13.6	13.7	-0.13	13.0	13.1	-0.08
Jameer Nelson	63	64	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	-9	22	14.5	12.5	2.02	14.4	11.0	3.42
Pat Garrity	56	59	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	-7	18	14.3	12.9	1.42	13.7	12.3	1.42
Hedo Turkoglu	79	81	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.61	-14	18	-32	13.9	13.0	0.92	12.4	14.8	-2.37
Kelvin Cato	49	47	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.38	-7	11	-18	13.1	14.1	-0.93	11.9	13.9	-2.03
Tony Battie	39	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.11	7	-3	10	13.4	13.8	-0.41	13.5	12.8	0.72
Stacey Augmon	20	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.16	5	-1	6	15.1	13.3	1.85	14.2	12.8	1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.7,0.8,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.51,0.46,0.64,0.53,0.53,0.32,0.16,0.06,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 88, MIL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.66,0.39,0.11,0.09,0.15,1	89.7%
LAC 102, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.21,0.24,0.17,1	89.3%
MIL 94, PHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.28,0.32,0.17,1	89.1%