NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	77		Excitement	5.3 [779]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +16.5%
Dallas Mavericks	99		Comeback	2.5 [761]		LVP	Rick Brunson (LAC): -19.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lionel Chalmers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Mikki Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	20	51%	0.03	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	3	12%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	13	48%	-0.06	1	-0.01	7	86%	-0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.05	-0.02	10	20%	-0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	11	68%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	108%	0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	9	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	4	87%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	0.04	13	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	24	53%	0.05	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	25.2	17.4	26.9	1.8	29.0	129.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +43.5%

LAC -6.7%

LAC -3.0%

DAL +17.2%

LAC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	18.2	14.9	15.5	88.5	113.8	104.0
season	16.0	14.9		103.0	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.4	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.3	19.7	17.1	21.6	18.2
DAL	16.7	15.5	10.6	18.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mamadou N'diaye	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-20	18	18.3	18.2	0.18	10.7	15.1	-4.43
Lionel Chalmers	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-19	16	20.7	18.0	2.69	15.0	14.9	0.06
Quinton Ross	44	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.06	-5	-17	12	18.4	17.9	0.55	15.9	13.9	2.00
Chris Kaman	63	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.20	-12	-10	-2	18.7	16.8	1.83	15.4	13.9	1.49
Zeljko Rebraca	11	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.15	-11	-11	0	21.6	17.7	3.98	13.9	15.1	-1.20
Rick Brunson	62	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-22	22	16.8	21.6	-4.83	14.6	15.8	-1.15
Elton Brand	72	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	-17	12	17.5	21.3	-3.75	15.0	14.7	0.24
Darrick Martin	19	19	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.25	-19	-3	-16	21.9	17.1	4.78	16.0	14.6	1.35
Bobby Simmons	80	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.25	-19	-3	-16	17.9	21.0	-3.09	14.6	18.4	-3.78
Mikki Moore	21	22	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-14	6	16.6	18.7	-2.03	14.3	15.2	-0.84
Corey Maggette	54	54	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	0.04	-26	4	-30	18.5	17.7	0.80	14.8	15.1	-0.29

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	30	30	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.19	30	-8	38	16.3	14.2	2.12	21.0	16.6	4.38
Dirk Nowitzki	76	78	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.11	23	-1	24	14.4	18.4	-3.92	18.0	19.9	-1.93
Jerry Stackhouse	53	53	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	4	14	15.7	13.8	1.89	18.9	17.0	1.95
Devin Harris	32	32	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.29	25	-3	28	16.7	13.9	2.71	21.6	16.2	5.43
Josh Howard	48	49	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.07	16	6	10	14.6	15.4	-0.85	18.9	17.2	1.78
Michael Finley	67	66	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	16	-10	15.0	14.7	0.31	17.0	22.0	-5.00
Jason Terry	55	55	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	25	-28	13.9	16.7	-2.71	16.2	21.6	-5.43
Darrell Armstrong	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	10.7	15.1	-4.43	18.3	18.2	0.18
DJ Mbenga	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	10.7	15.1	-4.43	18.3	18.2	0.18
Calvin Booth	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	10.7	15.1	-4.43	18.3	18.2	0.18
Erick Dampier	45	46	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	26	-30	14.4	15.5	-1.12	17.2	19.2	-2.05
Alan Henderson	20	17	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.01	-7	29	-36	16.6	14.4	2.15	16.6	18.5	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 92, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.88,0.94,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
ORL 83, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
LAC 101, LAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%