NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	82		Excitement	4.4 [955]		MVP	Jason Williams (MEM): +22.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	101		Comeback	1.5 [943]		LVP	Shane Battier (MEM): -9.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	22	59%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	55%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Mike James	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	11	46%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	8	30%	-0.00	3	-0.07	4	50%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.20	0.04	0.01	17	74%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.00	9	78%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	14	64%	0.11	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	61%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	19	49%	-0.00	4	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	0.04	12	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.4	26.4	16.5	28.4	2.3	26.7	122.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +17.2%

MEM +8.0%

MIL -4.2%

MEM +27.8%

MEM +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MEM	NBA	MIL	MEM	NBA
this game	15.9	17.8	15.5	95.3	118.8	104.0
season	16.0	16.4		104.4	103.7
opponent	15.5	15.0		101.9	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.2	18.0	14.1	18.2	15.9
MEM	15.2	16.3	18.6	21.8	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	34	32	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.11	7	-26	33	16.4	15.6	0.82	18.8	17.2	1.66
Zaza Pachulia	5	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-19	19	26.8	15.2	11.55	17.7	17.8	-0.12
Marcus Fizer	21	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-17	15	18.0	15.3	2.69	16.3	18.2	-1.92
Erick Strickland	25	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.15	-8	-11	3	16.1	15.9	0.23	18.4	17.5	0.83
Mike James	50	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	-11	3	16.4	15.2	1.20	18.9	16.2	2.65
Toni Kukoc	11	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-12	5	17.3	15.7	1.55	15.4	18.1	-2.77
Dan Gadzuric	44	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-14	9	14.3	17.6	-3.28	17.6	18.0	-0.35
Mo Williams	36	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-8	-3	15.2	16.4	-1.20	16.2	18.9	-2.65
Joe Smith	65	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.06	-17	-2	-15	15.3	18.0	-2.69	18.2	16.3	1.92
Desmond Mason	57	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.17	-21	2	-23	15.9	16.0	-0.07	17.5	18.3	-0.76
Michael Redd	82	81	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.09	-23	4	-27	15.7	20.5	-4.80	17.8	17.5	0.29

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	59	58	0.67	-0.17	0.85	-0.21	30	-11	41	17.0	19.6	-2.59	15.6	16.6	-1.02
Shane Battier	61	62	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.16	28	-9	37	17.7	18.0	-0.37	16.5	14.4	2.08
James Posey	68	68	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.15	27	-8	35	17.2	19.9	-2.63	15.5	17.7	-2.21
Pau Gasol	55	55	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.17	27	-8	35	16.9	19.3	-2.35	15.5	16.7	-1.19
Lorenzen Wright	42	43	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	9	1	16.9	18.6	-1.68	14.3	17.5	-3.23
Bonzi Wells	55	56	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	7	5	18.7	16.1	2.64	16.3	15.2	1.10
Brian Cardinal	10	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	24	-29	17.4	17.8	-0.43	19.3	15.5	3.81
Dahntay Jones	17	18	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.10	-8	27	-35	19.9	17.2	2.63	17.7	15.5	2.21
Earl Watson	26	28	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.15	-11	30	-41	19.6	17.0	2.59	16.6	15.6	1.02
Stromile Swift	32	33	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.19	-15	34	-49	19.0	17.0	2.01	16.1	15.8	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 87, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
DAL 86, SAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
BKN 112, IND 132	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%