NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Excitement	5.8 [693]		MVP	Troy Hudson (MIN): +26.2%
Denver Nuggets	83		Comeback	1.3 [461]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): -25.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.07	0.17	-0.01	15	60%	0.28	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.03	16	81%	0.26	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
John Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	10	60%	0.03	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Trenton Hassell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.00	17	64%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	5	92%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	8	60%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Rodney White	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	9	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	11	27%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.18	-0.08	0.00	18	32%	-0.19	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.8	31.4	18.6	29.2	3.5	36.2	145.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +55.8%

MIN +9.2%

DEN -1.1%

DEN -19.6%

MIN +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DEN	NBA	MIN	DEN	NBA
this game	16.5	16.8	15.5	106.9	96.5	104.0
season	15.8	14.8		106.2	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.9		102.3	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.9	14.9	16.8	20.0	16.5
DEN	16.4	15.1	19.2	16.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	40	42	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.11	20	-10	30	17.4	15.7	1.63	17.2	16.5	0.71
Latrell Sprewell	72	72	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-4	18	16.2	18.1	-1.98	16.7	17.2	-0.49
Ervin Johnson	16	15	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	0	10	16.4	16.5	-0.07	18.8	16.4	2.42
Eddie Griffin	40	38	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	1	8	17.5	15.6	1.91	16.8	16.8	-0.07
Wally Szczerbiak	51	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	5	0	16.6	16.4	0.23	16.0	17.9	-1.82
Fred Hoiberg	11	12	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	5	0	16.5	16.5	0.06	17.9	16.6	1.30
Michael Olowokandi	20	20	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	7	-4	18.0	16.0	1.96	16.2	17.0	-0.78
Kevin Garnett	66	65	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	11	-12	16.3	17.0	-0.73	16.1	19.1	-3.03
John Thomas	32	33	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	11	-12	14.7	17.6	-2.91	18.2	15.9	2.29
Trenton Hassell	40	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	14	-18	17.0	16.1	0.89	17.2	16.5	0.74
Anthony Carter	47	44	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.10	-10	20	-30	15.7	17.4	-1.63	16.5	17.2	-0.71

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney White	4	5	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.08	6	-16	22	14.5	16.9	-2.41	22.4	16.1	6.27
DerMarr Johnson	11	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-5	0	19.4	16.4	2.94	16.3	16.5	-0.22
Nene	24	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-8	6	15.7	17.2	-1.46	17.8	16.0	1.75
Greg Buckner	53	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-8	6	16.4	17.5	-1.11	15.7	17.8	-2.13
Kenyon Martin	63	65	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.21	3	-13	16	16.0	19.0	-3.06	16.4	16.8	-0.37
Andre Miller	72	74	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-10	10	16.0	21.0	-5.01	16.4	17.0	-0.59
Bryon Russell	30	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-4	-2	17.1	16.7	0.41	17.9	15.8	2.09
Francisco Elson	20	19	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	2	-14	19.3	16.0	3.25	16.8	16.4	0.45
Carmelo Anthony	59	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-1	-8	17.2	16.0	1.22	15.9	17.7	-1.75
Marcus Camby	65	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	-1	-8	17.2	15.5	1.69	16.0	18.0	-1.96
Earl Boykins	29	27	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	4	-18	17.9	16.2	1.65	17.0	16.3	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.25,0.11,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 99, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.06,0,0	93.7%
IND 111, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.02,0.02,0,0	93.4%
LAL 88, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.27,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.03,0.02,0	93.1%