NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	88		Excitement	7.2 [366]		MVP	Linton Johnson (CHI): +5.9%
Chicago Bulls	81		Comeback	1.6 [388]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -27.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	-0.02	0.06	0.01	25	57%	0.17	5	-0.14	11	91%	0.05
Bryon Russell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kareem Rush	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rick Fox	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.14,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.00	-0.00	9	38%	-0.07	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	18	36%	-0.07	6	-0.20	8	25%	-0.07

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	12	35%	-0.03	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	10	59%	-0.01	4	-0.12	7	57%	-0.03
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	14	44%	-0.09	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.06
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	7	45%	-0.12	2	-0.04	8	0%	-0.19
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.17,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	15	34%	-0.13	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.28,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.08	-0.01	18	30%	-0.20	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.6	29.0	15.8	31.1	2.5	37.5	145.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.4%

LAL +21.9%

LAL +2.6%

CHI -10.5%

LAL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHI	NBA	LAL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.4	14.1	15.7	86.3	81.0	100.5
season	15.4	15.2		102.8	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		101.3	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.6	15.0	14.4	13.7	14.4
CHI	12.1	15.0	15.0	14.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	82	80	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	2	3	14.7	13.1	1.57	14.3	13.2	1.06
Gary Payton	70	69	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	-1	9	14.0	15.3	-1.31	13.7	15.0	-1.26
Slava Medvedenko	30	30	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	-3	13	14.2	14.5	-0.25	15.2	13.6	1.57
Karl Malone	86	83	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	2	3	13.8	17.9	-4.11	13.8	15.6	-1.86
Kobe Bryant	84	82	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	3	1	14.0	16.3	-2.27	13.3	17.9	-4.69
Devean George	38	38	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	2	3	14.1	14.6	-0.57	14.0	14.2	-0.20
Kareem Rush	30	28	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.12	1	6	-5	15.3	14.1	1.21	16.0	13.4	2.59
Rick Fox	44	44	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	5	-3	14.9	14.0	0.91	14.0	14.2	-0.18
Derek Fisher	32	31	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	8	-9	15.3	14.0	1.31	15.0	13.7	1.26
Bryon Russell	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	5	-3	14.2	14.4	-0.18	17.4	13.8	3.56
Luke Walton	6	7	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.02	-6	13	-19	20.3	14.0	6.29	10.7	14.4	-3.64

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linton Johnson	49	48	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-6	5	14.2	14.0	0.24	14.6	14.2	0.44
Ronald Dupree	24	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-3	-1	13.4	14.3	-0.90	14.3	14.4	-0.16
Eddy Curry	48	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-3	-1	15.1	13.2	1.89	14.6	14.2	0.33
Antonio Davis	79	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-6	5	14.0	14.3	-0.30	14.6	13.6	0.99
Jamal Crawford	78	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-5	3	14.6	12.2	2.40	14.8	13.1	1.63
Kirk Hinrich	90	92	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-3	-1	13.8	16.9	-3.11	14.2	16.0	-1.76
Tyson Chandler	73	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.23	-9	2	-11	13.5	15.7	-2.15	14.1	15.3	-1.25
Kendall Gill	59	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	3	-13	14.1	14.2	-0.12	14.1	14.9	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.27,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 101, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.11,0.06,0.02,0	94.4%
MEM 99, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.06,0,0	94.1%
LAC 91, NJN 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.4%