NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	9.0 [143]		MVP	Eric Snow (CLE): +7.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	98		Comeback	2.1 [777]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -35.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.10	0.00	1	150%	0.18	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
LeBron James	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	26	50%	0.08	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.11	0.06	-0.14	0.04	12	77%	0.01	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.36	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.27,-0.27,-0.36	-0.10	-0.24	0.01	13	41%	-0.30	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.11

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.01	17	55%	0.07	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	46%	0.01	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.09
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	7	35%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.07	0.01	18	48%	-0.05	5	-0.16	8	87%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	3.4	31.6	19.5	23.7	3.5	44.4	150.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -18.7%

LAL +30.4%

LAL +30.1%

LAL +7.6%

LAL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAL	NBA	CLE	LAL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.8	15.5	96.9	103.2	104.0
season	16.2	15.7		104.6	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		108.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.7	14.9	13.8	13.6	14.3
LAL	16.6	15.1	15.0	16.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	31	31	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.05	9	-13	22	15.1	13.9	1.19	16.8	15.3	1.51
Sasha Pavlovic	11	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-3	2	12.6	14.5	-1.83	16.4	15.7	0.72
Lucious Harris	32	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.12	-7	3	-10	14.2	14.3	-0.10	15.2	16.0	-0.79
Ira Newble	74	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.38	5	-9	14	14.1	14.7	-0.52	15.9	15.2	0.68
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	64	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.49	7	-11	18	14.2	14.4	-0.21	17.2	12.6	4.62
Robert Traylor	32	29	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	8	-20	14.7	14.0	0.64	13.0	17.0	-3.92
Drew Gooden	38	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	7	-18	14.7	14.0	0.70	15.1	16.2	-1.11
LeBron James	89	88	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-3	2	14.3	14.0	0.28	15.7	16.4	-0.72
Eric Snow	36	36	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	4	-12	14.2	14.3	-0.06	14.9	16.3	-1.31
Jeff McInnis	78	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.46	-1	-3	2	14.0	15.4	-1.45	15.9	15.2	0.66

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	75	77	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	0	4	15.8	15.5	0.26	14.4	13.6	0.77
Jumaine Jones	50	52	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	-1	6	16.5	14.9	1.65	14.5	14.0	0.48
Chucky Atkins	74	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	5	-6	16.1	14.7	1.34	14.2	14.4	-0.20
Chris Mihm	52	51	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.42	-1	5	-6	16.6	14.7	1.94	13.6	15.0	-1.41
Sasha Vujacic	51	52	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	-2	8	16.0	15.5	0.48	14.6	13.8	0.77
Tierre Brown	23	25	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	-1	6	13.4	16.5	-3.07	13.2	14.6	-1.37
Brian Cook	28	30	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	0	4	15.7	15.8	-0.06	14.4	14.2	0.21
Caron Butler	78	80	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	9	-14	15.2	18.2	-2.95	13.8	16.6	-2.83
Kobe Bryant	14	13	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	4	-4	15.2	15.9	-0.64	13.8	14.3	-0.56
Brian Grant	30	30	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.09	3	1	2	15.1	16.0	-0.91	16.3	13.3	3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.53,0.36,0.47,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 100, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.75,0.71,0.9,0.92,1	92.5%
SAS 93, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.92,1	91.7%
MEM 103, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.46,0.66,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.91,1	91.6%