NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	95		Excitement	7.0 [451]		MVP	Chris Andersen (NOH): +7.8%
New Orleans Hornets	89		Comeback	1.1 [587]		LVP	Baron Davis (NOH): -28.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	14	63%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Adrian Griffin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	6	73%	0.11	5	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Eric Piatkowski	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Duhon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.04	13	47%	-0.03	5	-0.11	10	90%	0.04
Luol Deng	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.18,-0.2	-0.10	-0.10	0.01	14	41%	-0.14	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	83%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Lee Nailon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	17	53%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	27%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	3	12%	-0.12	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.12	-0.16	0.00	19	42%	-0.22	2	-0.06	12	58%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	30.9	15.0	29.2	2.3	37.3	142.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +39.3%

CHI +17.2%

CHI +25.3%

NOH -24.2%

NOH -7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NOH	NBA	CHI	NOH	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	15.5	101.1	91.8	104.0
season	15.1	16.5		100.1	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.2	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.7	18.2	16.0	14.2	15.5
NOH	15.0	12.6	17.6	14.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	69	72	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.36	16	-10	26	15.2	16.2	-0.94	14.7	14.8	-0.13
Eddy Curry	71	73	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.32	7	-1	8	15.7	14.8	0.91	14.6	15.1	-0.56
Kirk Hinrich	74	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	0	6	15.5	15.5	-0.04	14.9	13.8	1.14
Tyson Chandler	48	50	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	-1	8	15.4	15.6	-0.19	14.6	14.8	-0.13
Ben Gordon	41	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	3	0	15.2	15.6	-0.40	14.1	15.2	-1.07
Antonio Davis	37	38	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	0	6	15.3	15.6	-0.28	15.9	13.9	1.96
Chris Duhon	44	46	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	0	6	15.2	15.7	-0.54	15.5	14.0	1.48
Adrian Griffin	2	2	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	4	-2	19.0	15.4	3.61	5.0	14.9	-9.91
Othella Harrington	23	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	7	-8	14.8	15.7	-0.91	15.1	14.6	0.56
Eric Piatkowski	29	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	9	-12	16.2	15.1	1.12	13.7	15.1	-1.40
Andres Nocioni	32	32	-0.53	1.03	-1.55	0.03	-19	25	-44	16.1	15.1	1.00	14.1	15.0	-0.95

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Nailon	61	59	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-4	2	14.9	14.3	0.58	15.7	15.0	0.70
Dan Dickau	37	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-1	-4	15.5	14.2	1.31	15.2	15.6	-0.41
Junior Harrington	45	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.31	5	-11	16	13.6	15.7	-2.10	16.0	15.0	0.98
Chris Andersen	34	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	1	-8	15.1	14.5	0.64	15.0	15.7	-0.71
Bostjan Nachbar	54	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-8	10	14.6	14.9	-0.29	15.4	15.5	-0.08
J.R. Smith	37	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	1	-8	15.7	14.1	1.62	15.2	15.6	-0.35
Rodney Rogers	72	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-5	4	14.5	15.2	-0.67	15.8	14.4	1.43
Baron Davis	75	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-1	-4	14.5	15.5	-0.97	15.4	15.8	-0.38
P.J. Brown	70	67	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.32	-10	4	-14	14.6	15.0	-0.41	15.1	16.3	-1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, NOP 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.18,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.24,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.37,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.01,0.02,0	93.8%
MIA 90, WAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.02,0,0	93.8%
SAC 96, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.02,0.02,0	92.6%