inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 90 Excitement5.9 [379] MVPTerry Porter (MIA): +22.2%
Washington Wizards 79 Comeback1.1 [546] LVPRod Strickland (WAS): -22.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terry Porter0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.220.110.10-0.01693%0.2200.00250%-0.00
Jamal Mashburn0.030,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.011651%0.0300.003100%0.01
Keith Askins0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dan Majerle-0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.014100%0.074-0.0900%0.00
Duane Causwell-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.0000%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Alonzo Mourning-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.020.031460%-0.013-0.071267%-0.11
Clar. Weatherspoon-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.00533%-0.032-0.042100%0.01
Tim Hardaway-0.090,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.000.021551%0.013-0.09978%0.06
P.J. Brown-0.140,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.05-0.01521%-0.121-0.02475%0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.001177%0.154-0.104100%0.02
Terry Davis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.02-0.01250%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Randell Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01150%0.0000.002100%0.00
John Coker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Legler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.04-0.02425%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.03275%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeff McInnis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.04-0.03714%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Otis Thorpe0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.06-0.03952%0.003-0.1050%-0.11
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.14-0.06-0.031539%-0.142-0.031182%0.01
Rod Strickland0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.07-0.130.021353%-0.134-0.10850%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.02.429.315.428.41.838.2138.6
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +20.0%
MIA +10.6%
MIA +4.0%
MIA +12.6%
MIA +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAWASNBAMIAWASNBA
this game17.515.915.8103.492.999.6
season16.615.5101.398.8
opponent15.916.7101.396.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.816.818.917.817.5
WAS18.414.515.415.715.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
P.J. Brown50510.78-0.281.060.1721-103118.616.02.6115.217.0-1.81
Alonzo Mourning77740.57-0.070.640.1016-52117.617.00.6016.114.91.19
Dan Majerle69690.52-0.020.550.0815-41918.214.83.4015.318.5-3.15
Tim Hardaway72690.330.170.160.1565117.119.5-2.3415.517.7-2.15
Jamal Mashburn64620.320.180.130.1174317.717.00.7816.714.02.72
Terry Porter50490.240.26-0.020.21110-917.517.5-0.0215.915.9-0.01
Keith Askins760.020.48-0.46-0.0429-710.418.1-7.7219.815.64.19
Duane Causwell1412-0.130.63-0.750.05-617-2316.717.7-0.9712.416.5-4.10
Clar. Weatherspoon3233-0.150.65-0.800.05-718-2516.518.1-1.5818.014.63.37

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Legler30320.26-0.761.02-0.1213-243714.516.7-2.2815.718.6-2.86
Chris Whitney12140.01-0.510.52-0.166-172314.716.2-1.4814.618.1-3.52
Randell Jackson44-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-12138.516.3-7.815.718.1-12.35
John Coker44-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-12138.516.3-7.815.718.1-12.35
Jeff McInnis89-0.07-0.430.35-0.04-1-10913.716.2-2.4211.018.3-7.28
Terry Davis1821-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-9718.315.33.0322.116.16.08
Ben Wallace2121-0.26-0.24-0.020.03-10-1-918.615.13.5615.118.3-3.15
Otis Thorpe6362-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.16-4-7315.716.5-0.7518.116.02.09
Rod Strickland6968-0.44-0.06-0.380.00-154-1916.015.70.2418.314.73.57
Juwan Howard7273-0.530.03-0.56-0.15-132-1515.717.5-1.8917.915.52.42
Calbert Cheaney5153-0.550.05-0.61-0.09-165-2116.515.01.5218.216.51.69
Mitch Richmond7374-0.560.06-0.62-0.12-154-1916.412.93.5218.213.54.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.02,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 95, NOH 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.01,093.8%
LAL 95, ORL 900.5,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.01,0,093.7%
DET 78, HOU 700.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.26,0.22,0.39,0.31,0.15,0.02,0,093.7%