NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	94		Excitement	3.4 [1151]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +8.2%
Atlanta Hawks	79		Comeback	1.3 [496]		LVP	Al Harrington (ATL): -11.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	-0.01	10	71%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	65%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	7	56%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	15	65%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ibrahim Kutluay	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	11	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome James	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	5	60%	0.02	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	-0.01	-0.07	17	50%	0.04	4	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	11	45%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	10	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.03
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	11	45%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	7	43%	-0.04	2	-0.01	7	57%	-0.02
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	0.03	15	43%	-0.10	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	0.7	30.3	0.2	27.5	2.3	27.5	112.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +30.0%

SEA +8.8%

SEA +11.5%

ATL -1.9%

SEA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	ATL	NBA	SEA	ATL	NBA
this game	16.8	16.5	15.5	108.0	91.9	104.0
season	16.5	15.6		109.5	98.1
opponent	15.1	15.6		108.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.7	16.1	15.0	20.2	16.8
ATL	17.6	13.9	17.1	17.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	65	64	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.11	19	-4	23	15.7	20.1	-4.35	16.3	16.8	-0.49
Vladimir Radmanovic	64	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	2	11	17.0	16.3	0.73	15.8	18.0	-2.20
Rashard Lewis	68	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.21	21	-6	27	16.1	19.3	-3.17	15.9	18.7	-2.81
Luke Ridnour	53	52	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	10	-5	16.0	18.1	-2.15	16.8	15.9	0.94
Reggie Evans	44	44	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.14	15	0	15	16.1	17.6	-1.51	16.8	16.0	0.79
Antonio Daniels	36	36	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.11	12	3	9	17.9	16.1	1.84	15.2	17.3	-2.12
Nick Collison	39	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	8	-1	18.3	15.6	2.71	16.0	16.9	-0.88
Danny Fortson	19	19	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	14	-13	18.9	16.3	2.63	16.5	16.4	0.09
Jerome James	23	24	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	13	-11	16.3	17.0	-0.73	18.0	15.8	2.20
Ronald Murray	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	21	-27	20.2	16.4	3.83	18.9	16.1	2.77
Ibrahim Kutluay	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	22	-29	19.0	16.7	2.32	20.4	16.2	4.19
Vitaly Potapenko	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	22	-29	18.3	16.7	1.57	21.0	16.1	4.89

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-22	29	20.4	16.2	4.19	19.0	16.7	2.32
Jason Collier	40	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.25	6	-21	27	17.9	15.2	2.66	16.4	17.2	-0.78
Predrag Drobnjak	18	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-10	5	15.6	16.7	-1.07	18.4	16.4	2.02
Kevin Willis	13	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-9	3	13.6	17.0	-3.34	16.6	16.9	-0.32
Josh Smith	59	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-15	15	16.0	17.4	-1.34	16.7	17.1	-0.45
Tony Delk	30	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.22	-15	0	-15	16.1	16.7	-0.59	17.8	16.4	1.38
Royal Ivey	36	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-14	13	15.3	17.3	-2.02	17.0	16.7	0.32
Tyronn Lue	47	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	-3	-9	17.7	14.9	2.75	16.9	16.8	0.03
Al Harrington	76	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-7	-1	16.6	15.0	1.64	16.2	22.2	-6.00
Antoine Walker	72	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	2	-19	16.3	17.0	-0.65	17.1	15.6	1.49
Josh Childress	34	37	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.18	-24	9	-33	16.1	16.7	-0.56	16.3	17.2	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 111, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
LAL 107, DEN 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
MIA 93, BOS 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0	96.5%