inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 94 Excitement2.6 [1249] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +6.3%
Dallas Mavericks 113 Comeback1.0 [1220] LVPRicky Davis (BOS): -13.9%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jiri Welsch0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.080.000.06885%0.062-0.044100%0.01
Al Jefferson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03575%0.043-0.01250%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0.010,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.051357%0.0100.002100%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Reed0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02167%0.0010.00450%0.00
Tony Allen-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03444%-0.0010.0010%0.00
Walter McCarty-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Marcus Banks-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.040.000.05770%0.001-0.01683%0.01
Paul Pierce-0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.000.011352%-0.002-0.04743%-0.02
Mark Blount-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.080.00-0.01542%-0.023-0.05250%-0.00
Gary Payton-0.100,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.140.00-0.041225%-0.063-0.0500%0.00
Ricky Davis-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.25-0.00-0.11811%-0.066-0.0820%-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.001863%0.092-0.0210100%0.03
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.100.000.051468%0.071-0.02367%0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.021080%0.115-0.0700%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.03764%0.0200.0000%0.00
Josh Howard0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00760%0.031-0.021100%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01375%0.022-0.012100%0.01
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Calvin Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.01-0.03150%-0.001-0.00475%0.01
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.01633%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.120.00-0.03958%-0.017-0.07683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.530.715.830.61.828.5134.0
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +25.9%
DAL +16.2%
DAL +3.7%
DAL +3.8%
DAL +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSDALNBABOSDALNBA
this game13.114.415.589.5107.6104.0
season14.414.9104.7108.2
opponent15.516.0103.4104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS13.812.212.713.713.1
DAL12.413.515.116.914.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kendrick Perkins1414-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-222512.913.1-0.2515.514.21.32
Justin Reed1414-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-222512.913.1-0.2515.514.21.32
Walter McCarty2524-0.08-0.420.340.01-3-161313.013.1-0.1514.814.20.62
Al Jefferson3232-0.15-0.350.210.06-7-12512.113.5-1.3714.914.10.84
Marcus Banks4847-0.15-0.350.210.06-7-12512.913.2-0.3715.013.81.13
Tony Allen2727-0.15-0.350.200.08-8-11313.313.00.2514.014.5-0.42
Jiri Welsch5956-0.25-0.250.010.16-14-5-913.412.60.7914.714.00.74
Paul Pierce6768-0.25-0.250.00-0.13-4-151113.612.11.5215.013.21.84
Raef LaFrentz6061-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.15-4-151113.412.70.7214.414.30.02
Mark Blount5960-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.01-12-7-513.213.00.1713.715.3-1.60
Gary Payton6263-0.42-0.08-0.340.08-17-2-1513.013.2-0.2613.415.7-2.27
Ricky Davis5859-0.44-0.06-0.380.30-256-3112.613.7-1.1313.515.4-1.89

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki86850.460.040.43-0.1220-12114.115.6-1.5013.511.12.44
Jason Terry72700.410.090.32-0.00145914.913.11.8013.711.91.83
Michael Finley84840.380.120.26-0.061541114.613.51.0413.212.70.51
Josh Howard46470.330.170.16-0.141631314.714.10.6514.112.31.79
Shawn Bradley41420.310.190.12-0.2820-12114.314.4-0.1013.113.10.03
Jerry Stackhouse60610.190.31-0.110.16118-1713.315.8-2.4612.513.9-1.43
Erick Dampier53530.190.31-0.120.10316-1313.914.8-0.9013.213.00.23
Alan Henderson31320.130.37-0.24-0.02514-915.014.10.9211.313.8-2.49
Devin Harris34350.090.41-0.32-0.03415-1114.114.5-0.4311.913.7-1.83
Darrell Armstrong760.000.50-0.50-0.03118-1714.614.30.2312.713.1-0.43
Calvin Booth11100.000.50-0.500.12-423-2716.714.12.6512.413.1-0.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 86, PHX 1080.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
VAN 96, DET 1180.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
HOU 82, SEA 1120.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%