NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	82		Excitement	1.9 [1250]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +9.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	112		Comeback	1.0 [1107]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -7.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	10	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	16	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Oscar Torres	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	9	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.03	12	54%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Steve Francis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.18	0.00	-0.11	15	32%	-0.03	2	-0.04	10	70%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	11	74%	0.09	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.05	14	69%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	9	62%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	11	81%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	67%	0.02	4	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	13	36%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	45.7	1.7	24.2	15.6	27.0	1.0	26.2	141.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +34.6%

SEA +4.0%

SEA +4.7%

SEA +6.1%

SEA +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SEA	NBA	HOU	SEA	NBA
this game	15.9	15.9	15.6	90.1	124.4	102.3
season	16.8	16.0		100.9	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.2		103.9	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.7	19.6	14.1	13.5	15.9
SEA	14.6	14.7	17.3	17.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tierre Brown	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-24	18	15.8	15.9	-0.10	12.6	16.1	-3.53
Dan Langhi	17	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.34	-15	-15	0	18.1	15.4	2.74	12.5	16.7	-4.20
Oscar Torres	20	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.18	-11	-19	8	17.0	15.6	1.49	15.7	16.0	-0.32
Terence Morris	39	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.33	-17	-13	-4	16.2	15.7	0.51	16.8	15.3	1.48
Jason Collier	41	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.25	-15	-15	0	17.1	14.9	2.24	15.4	16.4	-0.96
Moochie Norris	57	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.27	-18	-12	-6	16.1	15.5	0.58	16.2	15.4	0.84
Walt Williams	43	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-23	16	15.3	16.4	-1.07	15.9	16.0	-0.15
Kelvin Cato	50	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.13	-15	-15	0	14.9	17.1	-2.24	16.4	15.4	0.96
Steve Francis	54	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.23	-19	-11	-8	15.9	15.9	-0.09	16.1	15.7	0.41
Kenny Thomas	52	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-17	4	15.7	16.2	-0.51	15.3	16.8	-1.48
Cuttino Mobley	77	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.01	-14	-16	2	15.3	19.2	-3.93	16.7	11.9	4.74

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	68	70	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.16	21	9	12	16.0	15.7	0.27	15.3	18.0	-2.74
Gary Payton	53	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	11	8	14.9	17.4	-2.41	17.3	13.6	3.68
Predrag Drobnjak	58	60	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	18	-6	15.7	16.4	-0.78	15.7	16.2	-0.46
Rashard Lewis	56	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	13	4	15.4	16.9	-1.53	16.1	15.5	0.58
Jerome James	41	43	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	21	-12	16.5	15.5	1.02	14.7	17.0	-2.35
Desmond Mason	52	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.37	21	9	12	15.8	16.2	-0.39	16.9	14.7	2.20
Randy Livingston	44	43	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.23	13	17	-4	17.1	14.8	2.26	14.9	16.8	-1.91
Vin Baker	38	38	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.26	14	16	-2	16.9	15.2	1.76	15.1	16.5	-1.39
Art Long	22	21	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	25	-20	16.0	15.9	0.09	18.6	15.1	3.49
Shammond Williams	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	21	-12	16.7	15.8	0.85	14.4	16.1	-1.74
Olumide Oyedeji	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.29	10	20	-10	13.0	16.1	-3.14	16.0	15.9	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 78, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
GSW 78, UTA 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
GSW 83, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%