NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	111		Excitement	7.4 [383]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +12.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	104		Comeback	4.3 [138]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (POR): -23.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.01	18	61%	0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	8	62%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.00	9	62%	0.11	3	-0.11	8	75%	-0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.07	-0.00	25	44%	0.04	2	-0.07	13	77%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.01	10	61%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Kenny Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	9	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	9	45%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	8	68%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	7	43%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.12	4	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.05	0.03	12	58%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	24	47%	-0.03	1	-0.02	11	45%	-0.03
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.17,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.08	0.05	19	57%	-0.03	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.02
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	11	32%	-0.09	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.5	29.4	15.0	23.0	1.8	36.3	134.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +36.4%

POR -7.7%

POR -4.0%

PHI +20.8%

PHI +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	POR	NBA	PHI	POR	NBA
this game	13.6	15.4	15.5	112.1	104.0	104.0
season	13.9	15.8		101.1	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.8		105.4	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.8	13.8	13.2	13.4	13.6
POR	13.9	16.8	15.6	15.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	82	82	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.27	13	-6	19	13.5	14.1	-0.61	15.4	15.1	0.33
Kenny Thomas	56	56	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	-3	13	13.9	13.1	0.86	16.1	14.4	1.69
Kyle Korver	52	54	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	0	7	12.7	14.4	-1.70	15.3	15.5	-0.22
Allen Iverson	92	94	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.33	1	6	-5	13.7	12.3	1.37	15.2	18.8	-3.67
Marc Jackson	65	66	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.34	-2	9	-11	13.2	14.1	-0.90	15.3	15.5	-0.14
Kevin Ollie	7	6	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	1	5	12.3	13.7	-1.37	18.8	15.2	3.67
Brian Skinner	20	22	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	5	-3	13.1	13.7	-0.51	13.7	15.8	-2.12
Samuel Dalembert	53	53	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	5	-3	14.0	13.1	0.88	15.7	15.0	0.72
Willie Green	68	67	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	11	-15	14.1	12.4	1.70	15.1	16.0	-0.88

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	81	80	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-8	9	14.5	18.9	-4.40	13.7	12.8	0.88
Darius Miles	88	88	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-11	15	14.9	18.8	-3.92	13.7	12.0	1.75
Travis Outlaw	6	5	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-1	-5	13.8	15.5	-1.65	9.8	13.8	-3.96
Ruben Patterson	35	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-2	-3	17.5	14.2	3.24	13.5	13.6	-0.15
Joel Przybilla	13	13	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	1	-9	16.0	15.3	0.71	13.0	13.6	-0.64
Theo Ratliff	85	84	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.28	1	-8	9	15.1	17.1	-1.98	13.7	12.9	0.81
Nick Van Exel	66	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-7	7	15.4	15.4	-0.05	13.8	13.1	0.73
Damon Stoudamire	42	41	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	3	-13	16.9	14.3	2.55	13.4	13.7	-0.24
Zach Randolph	84	84	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.29	-12	5	-17	15.4	15.3	0.08	13.3	15.0	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.44,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.47,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 84, MIA 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.65,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.19,0.02,0.02,0,0	91.5%
LAL 100, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.53,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.1,0.15,0.02,0,0	91.2%
DET 87, WAS 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.59,0.41,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.02,0.02,0	91.2%