inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 84 Excitement6.0 [605] MVPLaPhonso Ellis (MIA): +26.8%
Miami Heat 75 Comeback5.7 [151] LVPRod Strickland (MIA): -29.8%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Whitney0.090,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.040.001070%0.152-0.0600%0.00
Hubert Davis0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.02-0.00757%0.0600.0000%0.00
Tyronn Lue0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.040.04-0.02633%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Brendan Haywood0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jahidi White-0.000,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Popeye Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Christian Laettner-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.03-0.01564%0.052-0.09475%0.02
Kwame Brown-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00133%-0.0500.00450%-0.03
Richard Hamilton-0.070,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.011747%0.013-0.086100%0.01
Michael Jordan-0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.01-0.070.022051%0.012-0.09367%-0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.270.270.170.110.011286%0.301-0.03475%-0.01
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Vladimir Stepania0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.04-0.00831%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.021534%-0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Chris Gatling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.07-0.02947%0.012-0.101100%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.060.031346%-0.071-0.042100%0.01
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.06-0.01729%-0.101-0.0100%0.00
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3-0.30-0.17-0.13-0.001523%-0.242-0.051100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.425.415.722.62.428.6124.3
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +50.0%
WAS +3.0%
MIA -0.5%
MIA -4.9%
WAS +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASMIANBAWASMIANBA
this game17.517.215.6101.290.4102.3
season16.516.5102.296.6
opponent15.815.398.2103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.819.218.118.217.5
MIA18.014.217.918.717.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Jordan65640.71-0.210.920.2715-62117.517.6-0.1217.416.40.99
Christian Laettner66660.62-0.120.740.1815-62117.517.7-0.2417.814.92.89
Richard Hamilton65660.60-0.100.700.2213-41717.617.40.1617.814.92.89
Tyronn Lue44420.310.190.110.39-312-1518.017.00.9315.019.4-4.46
Popeye Jones29320.240.26-0.010.2409-917.817.40.3716.917.4-0.45
Hubert Davis45440.210.29-0.08-0.0281717.917.10.8117.516.80.73
Chris Whitney51530.160.34-0.18-0.1611-21317.517.6-0.0718.514.93.57
Brendan Haywood2019-0.010.51-0.510.02-110-1115.518.1-2.5915.717.6-1.94
Jahidi White1920-0.050.55-0.59-0.0818-715.118.2-3.1317.317.10.22
Kwame Brown119-0.300.80-1.090.11-1423-3721.716.94.8511.717.9-6.18

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vladimir Stepania19200.01-0.510.51-0.021-101115.717.6-1.9415.518.1-2.59
Anthony Carter5555-0.13-0.370.240.08-7-2-517.716.11.6717.717.10.67
Malik Allen1514-0.15-0.350.200.08-8-1-719.116.82.3015.218.0-2.77
Eddie Jones7878-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.14-5-4-117.019.6-2.5717.715.22.47
Rod Strickland4344-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.28-1-8716.018.4-2.3517.817.20.64
Alonzo Mourning5354-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.22-5-4-118.614.73.8818.914.93.98
LaPhonso Ellis7170-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.09-101-1116.819.2-2.3217.318.7-1.39
Eddie House4747-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.32-4-5116.917.6-0.7617.817.20.62
Chris Gatling3433-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.28-6-3-317.017.3-0.2616.418.3-1.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.65,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.19,0.02,0.02,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 100, DEN 890.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.8,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.14,0.11,0.11,0,092.9%
BOS 102, PHI 920.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.03,0,092.0%
PHI 111, POR 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.44,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.47,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,091.5%