inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 99 Excitement6.4 [569] MVPCalbert Cheaney (GSW): +13.3%
Golden State Warriors 109 Comeback5.8 [477] LVPEarl Watson (MEM): -11.0%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Williams0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.080.020.02-0.031159%0.142-0.0600%0.00
Stromile Swift0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.02-0.011262%0.091-0.02580%0.01
Lorenzen Wright0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00560%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Dahntay Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shane Battier-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.020.00350%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
James Posey-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.040.03-0.050.021656%-0.021-0.017100%0.05
Bonzi Wells-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01356%0.013-0.063100%0.01
Mike Miller-0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.00750%-0.032-0.042100%0.00
Pau Gasol-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07-0.01-0.050.021066%-0.003-0.07978%0.01
Ryan Humphrey-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00250%-0.013-0.0800%0.00
Earl Watson-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.01333%-0.014-0.1000%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.080.060.004100%0.1300.0000%0.00
Speedy Claxton0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.130.130.080.060.021367%0.151-0.027100%0.01
Clifford Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.010.021075%0.092-0.0500%0.00
Adonal Foyle00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.03-0.021545%-0.0100.001250%-0.05
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.001050%0.011-0.03475%-0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00570%0.083-0.0900%0.00
Luis Flores0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.00333%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Ansu Sesay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0110%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Jason Richardson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.001850%-0.022-0.051283%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.23.429.816.734.73.639.4155.8
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +34.6%
MEM -14.1%
GSW +7.2%
GSW +19.7%
GSW +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMGSWNBAMEMGSWNBA
this game16.414.215.5105.3116.0104.0
season16.415.0103.7102.3
opponent15.215.5104.7101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM15.318.317.015.316.4
GSW14.115.214.313.514.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Humphrey24240.31-0.811.13-0.0713-233615.516.7-1.1417.113.33.87
Bonzi Wells22200.04-0.540.58-0.084-141815.316.7-1.4613.514.4-0.88
Dahntay Jones34-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-627.716.7-9.012.014.8-12.79
Lorenzen Wright3031-0.02-0.480.47-0.113-131616.216.5-0.2815.013.91.08
Earl Watson2929-0.14-0.360.23-0.140-101015.416.8-1.4713.714.5-0.85
Stromile Swift5050-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.26-3-7416.716.10.6114.813.61.14
Mike Miller6365-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.01-122-1417.114.92.1814.214.20.00
Jason Williams6565-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.07-100-1016.815.41.4714.513.70.85
Pau Gasol5956-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.13-9-1-816.616.00.6714.513.90.63
Shane Battier3940-0.610.11-0.72-0.08-188-2616.816.10.6412.815.3-2.56
James Posey8686-0.620.12-0.74-0.21-144-1816.317.9-1.6214.115.6-1.51

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Richardson90900.54-0.040.580.2211-11214.215.2-1.0516.417.2-0.89
Troy Murphy69670.390.110.280.1291814.713.11.5917.314.13.20
Eduardo Najera36380.380.120.260.091001013.015.0-2.0215.916.7-0.75
Clifford Robinson63640.350.150.200.2346-215.312.13.1616.516.30.19
Mickael Pietrus47490.340.160.190.051001014.414.10.2316.416.40.07
Speedy Claxton86860.310.190.110.1364214.214.9-0.6916.218.2-2.03
Luis Flores880.190.31-0.110.0846-214.914.20.6918.216.22.03
Calbert Cheaney45430.110.39-0.280.17-212-1413.415.0-1.5815.417.3-1.88
Ansu Sesay990.010.49-0.49-0.0837-414.114.3-0.1518.616.22.39
Adonal Foyle1716-0.120.62-0.730.03-515-2013.514.4-0.9415.016.7-1.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.25,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.63,0.55,0.71,0.88,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 86, IND 920.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,193.4%
WAS 97, ATL 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.93,1,1,192.3%
MIL 95, SAS 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.32,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.92,192.2%